Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 23

Gais vs Sirius

0 – 1 Full time

56′Zalán VancsaJoakim Persson
62′Nikola·VasicSamuel Salter
63′Simon JørgensenChristos Gravius
72′Ake AnderssonN. Jönsson
72′Melvin AnderssonOscar Pettersson
72′Victor SvenssonAdam Vikman
73′Joackim AbergJonas Lindberg
77′August Wangberg
78′Isak Bjerkebo
85′Matteo de BrienneRobin Wendin Thomasson
88′Isak BjerkeboMohamed Soumah
90′Jonas Lindberg

Gamla Ullevi, GothenburgReferee: Victor Wolf

Gais 39%
Draw 27%
Sirius 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
8 Corners 8
7 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 1
431 Accurate passes 347

Gais vs Sirius overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gais vs Sirius

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGaisDrawSirius
Model41.7%28.2%30.1%
Market38.4%26.7%34.8%
Final39.3%27.1%33.7%
Edge+0.8%+0.4%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gais ↓ / Sirius → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Gais and Sirius expected goals

Gais 1.46
Sirius 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.67

Gais and Sirius attack and defence ratings

Gais

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Sirius

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gais vs Sirius: result vs prediction

Gais 0 – 1 Sirius

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Gais vs Sirius markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gais 39.3% 2.55 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gais39.3%
Draw27.1%
Sirius33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)60.7%
Handicap -1Gais win20.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.9%
1-08.9%

Gais vs Sirius stats

Gais and Sirius recent form

newest first
Gais WLDWWL
Sirius WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gais and Sirius going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gais record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sirius record

  • They have won 16 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gais vs Sirius head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Gais wins 2Draws 3Sirius wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24SiriusGaisAllsvenskan2-1
2025-09-14SiriusGaisAllsvenskan3-0
2025-05-24GaisSiriusAllsvenskan2-1
2024-11-10GaisSiriusAllsvenskan2-1
2024-07-13SiriusGaisAllsvenskan3-1
2016-08-29SiriusGaisSuperettan0-0
2016-06-11GaisSiriusSuperettan0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gais vs Sirius odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 26.7%, away 34.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.46 3.54 2.59
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.70
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.63
Betano 2.42 3.50 2.67
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.70
Dafabet 2.46 3.55 2.80
Marathonbet 2.46 3.54 2.59
Pinnacle 2.49 3.50 2.82
SBO 2.32 3.19 2.59
William Hill 2.40 3.30 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.44 —
X 3.50 —
2 2.69 ▲ +0.06

15 snapshots recorded, from .