Gais
vs
Sirius
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gais
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Gais vs Sirius overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gais vs Sirius
| Probability | Gais | Draw | Sirius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.1% |
| Market | 38.1% | 26.7% | 35.2% |
| Final | 39.0% | 27.1% | 33.9% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +1.5% | -5.1% |
Why Gais
- The market prices Gais below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gais vs Sirius match preview
In the upcoming Allsvenskan match, Gais faces Sirius with model probabilities indicating a 39% chance for Gais to win, a 27% likelihood of a draw, and a 34% chance for Sirius to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Gais, with a 9% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, reflected in a 55% chance for both teams to find the net and a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Recent form shows Gais with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Sirius has three wins and two losses. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Gais has won once, while Sirius has claimed victory twice. The expected goals for Gais stand at 1.46 compared to Sirius's 1.21, indicating a competitive matchup.
Gais and Sirius team news
Gais news
- C. Gravius — muscle injury
- G. Lundgren — achilles tendon injury
- K. Holmen — knee injury
- R. Thorkelsson — knee injury
Sirius news
- M. Lindberg — yellow cards
- O. Liimatta — thigh injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gais and Sirius expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Gais and Sirius attack and defence ratings
Gais
Sirius
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gais vs Sirius markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 39.0% | 2.56 | +3.6% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 39.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Sirius | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Gais vs Sirius stats
Gais and Sirius recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gais and Sirius season so far
Gais record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sirius record
- They have won 16 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gais vs Sirius head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Sirius | Gais | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Sirius | Gais | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Gais | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Gais | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-13 | Sirius | Gais | Allsvenskan | 3-1 |
| 2016-08-29 | Sirius | Gais | Superettan | 0-0 |
| 2016-06-11 | Gais | Sirius | Superettan | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gais vs Sirius odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 26.7%, away 35.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.54 | 2.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 3.54 | 2.59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.44 | 2.78 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.11 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .