Hammarby FF
vs
Djurgardens IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hammarby FF
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF
| Probability | Hammarby FF | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.4% | 29.4% | 39.2% |
| Market | 53.8% | 23.6% | 22.6% |
| Final | 48.2% | 25.0% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -22.4% | +5.8% | +16.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.77, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF match preview
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF are set to face off in an Allsvenskan clash, with Hammarby holding a 48% probability of winning, while Djurgardens has a 28% chance, and a draw is at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Hammarby, with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.17 for Hammarby and 1.34 for Djurgardens, leading to a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score.
In terms of recent form, Hammarby has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Djurgardens is on a strong run with five consecutive wins following an initial loss. The head-to-head record over the last four encounters favors Hammarby, who have achieved two wins and two draws against Djurgardens, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF team news
Hammarby FF news
- B. Hedlof — hip injury
- N. Persson — yellow cards
Djurgardens IF news
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hammarby FF | 48.2% | 2.07 | -22.4% | 1.77 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hammarby FF | 48.2% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Djurgardens IF | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hammarby FF win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF stats
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF recent form
| Hammarby FF |
WWDLWW |
| Djurgardens IF |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF season so far
Hammarby FF record
- They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Djurgardens IF record
- They have won 13 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Djurgardens IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Hammarby FF | Djurgardens IF | Svenska Cupen | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Djurgardens IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-13 | Hammarby FF | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.8%, draw 23.6%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.15 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 4.15 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 4.19 | 4.07 |
| SBO | 1.74 | 3.46 | 3.53 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .