Allsvenskan · 2026-10-11T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 23

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF

0 – 1 Full time

38′			Jeppe Okkels
40′			Victor Eriksson
45′			Bo Åsulv Hegland
51′			Frank Junior Adjei
58′			Amin Boudri
58′			Kristian Stromland Lien
65′			Victor ErikssonOscar Steinke Brånby
68′			Miro Tenho
68′			Patric AslundCharlie Rosenquist
68′			Jeppe OkkelsOskar Fallenius
75′			Bo Åsulv HeglandChristos Almyras
75′			Daniel StenssonPeter Langhoff
76′			Amin BoudriTesfaldet Tekie
82′			Jacob Une LarssonMikael Marques
85′			Nahir BesaraSuwaibou Kebbeh
86′			Frank Junior AdjeiOskar Adam Moczarny

3Arena, StockholmReferee: Granit Maqedonci

Hammarby FF

48%

Draw

25%

Djurgardens IF

27%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	5
67	Possession %	33
5	Corners	2
14	Fouls	15
1	Offsides	3
4	Saves	6
565	Accurate passes	248

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Hammarby FF	Draw	Djurgardens IF
Model	31.3%	29.4%	39.3%
Market	53.6%	23.3%	23.1%
Final	48.1%	24.8%	27.1%
Edge	-5.6%	+1.5%	+4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF expected goals

Hammarby FF

1.17

Djurgardens IF

1.34

Total expected goals: 2.51

Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings

Hammarby FF

Attack

1.23 +23%

Defence

0.64 -36%

Djurgardens IF

Attack

1.54 +54%

Defence

0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF: result vs prediction

Hammarby FF 0 – 1 Djurgardens IF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Allsvenskan

IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK · 2026-10-09
AIK Stockholm v IF Brommapojkarna — match page · 2026-10-10
Gais vs Sirius — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF · 2026-10-10
BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad · 2026-10-12
Malmo FF v Kalmar FF — match page · 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Hammarby FF, previous: Degerfors IF v Hammarby FF analysis
Hammarby FF, next: Halmstad vs Hammarby FF prediction
Djurgardens IF, previous: Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg: odds and pick
Djurgardens IF, next: IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgardens IF, 2026-10-16

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Hammarby FF	48.1%	2.08	-5.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.2%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	52.1%	1.92	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.2%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	68.7%	1.46	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Hammarby FF	48.1%
	Draw	24.8%
	Djurgardens IF	27.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.8%
	Under 2.5	54.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	52.1%
	No	47.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.9%
	12 (either side)	75.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	51.9%
Handicap -1	Hammarby FF win	13.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.9%
	Loss	68.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.0%
	0-1	9.6%
	0-0	9.4%

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF stats

Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF recent form

newest first

Hammarby FF	WWDLWW
Djurgardens IF	LWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hammarby FF record

They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Djurgardens IF record

They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Hammarby FF wins 4Draws 1Djurgardens IF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-26	Djurgardens IF	Hammarby FF	Allsvenskan	1-1
2026-03-15	Hammarby FF	Djurgardens IF	Svenska Cupen	1-0
2025-09-14	Djurgardens IF	Hammarby FF	Allsvenskan	3-3
2025-04-13	Hammarby FF	Djurgardens IF	Allsvenskan	2-0
2024-10-21	Hammarby FF	Djurgardens IF	Allsvenskan	2-0
2024-06-02	Djurgardens IF	Hammarby FF	Allsvenskan	0-3
2023-10-22	Djurgardens IF	Hammarby FF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2023-05-14	Hammarby FF	Djurgardens IF	Allsvenskan	4-3
2022-09-11	Hammarby FF	Djurgardens IF	Allsvenskan	0-0
2022-07-03	Djurgardens IF	Hammarby FF	Allsvenskan	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 23.3%, away 23.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.70	4.15	4.16
Bet365	1.75	4.00	3.90
BetVictor	1.70	3.90	4.00
Betano	1.75	4.05	4.00
Betfair	1.75	3.75	4.20
Dafabet	1.79	4.10	4.10
Marathonbet	1.68	4.15	4.20
Pinnacle	1.77	4.24	4.11
SBO	1.74	3.59	3.66
William Hill	1.73	3.80	3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —

X 4.03 ▲ +0.05

2 4.05 ▲ +0.12

17 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-03T08:10:03Z.