Allsvenskan
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Degerfors IF
vs
Hammarby FF
0 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Noah Karl Anders Persson | ||
| 46′ | Paulos Abraham | ||
| 59′ | Ahmad FaqaSamba Diatara | ||
| 62′ | Karim Boutera | ||
| 63′ | Oscar Steinke BrånbyAmin Boudri | ||
| 67′ | Karim BouteraArman Taranis | ||
| 67′ | Noel MilleskogElias Barsoum | ||
| 82′ | Frank Junior AdjeiTesfaldet Tekie | ||
| 82′ | Montader MadjedOliver Jordan Hagen | ||
| 82′ | Noah Karl Anders PerssonWaylon Renecke | ||
| 84′ | Bilal HusseinRobin Dzabic | ||
| 86′ | Paulos AbrahamVictor Eriksson | ||
| 90′ | Victor Lind | ||
| 90′ | Nahom Girmai |
Degerfors IF
13%
Draw
20%
Hammarby FF
67%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Saves | 1 |
| 306 | Accurate passes | 452 |
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF
| Probability | Degerfors IF | Draw | Hammarby FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.5% | 25.8% | 55.7% |
| Market | 10.9% | 18.1% | 71.0% |
| Final | 12.8% | 20.0% | 67.2% |
| Edge | +7.6% | +7.7% | -15.4% |
Why Hammarby FF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF expected goals
Degerfors IF
0.91
Hammarby FF
1.74
Total expected goals: 2.65
Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF attack and defence ratings
Degerfors IF
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Hammarby FF
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF: result vs prediction
Degerfors IF 0 – 1 Hammarby FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hammarby FF | 67.2% | 1.49 | -15.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Degerfors IF | 12.8% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Hammarby FF | 67.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hammarby FF win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | |
| 0-2 | 10.7% |
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF stats
Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF recent form
| Degerfors IF |
LWLLWW |
| Hammarby FF |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Degerfors IF and Hammarby FF going into this match
Degerfors IF record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 21 matches.
Hammarby FF record
- They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
0Degerfors IF wins
2Draws
7Hammarby FF wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Hammarby FF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Degerfors IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Hammarby FF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-25 | Degerfors IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-02 | Hammarby FF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-22 | Hammarby FF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 5-1 |
| 2022-04-21 | Degerfors IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2021-11-21 | Degerfors IF | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 1-4 |
| 2021-07-11 | Hammarby FF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.9%, draw 18.1%, away 71.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.20 | 5.35 | 1.29 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 7.80 | 5.10 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 9.30 | 5.35 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 8.50 | 5.65 | 1.33 |
| SBO | 7.43 | 4.94 | 1.31 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.50 ▼ -0.40
X
5.10 ▼ -0.50
2
1.30 ▲ +0.02
13 snapshots recorded, from .