Allsvenskan · Full time ·Matchday 21

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

3 – 1 Full time

8′Paulos Abraham
29′Mads Hansen
45′markus karlsson
56′Frederik Franck Winther
61′Anton KurochkinDavid Isso
64′ibrahima fofana breze
64′Frank Junior AdjeiOscar Johansson
64′Oscar Steinke BrånbyNahir Besara
79′Pavle Vagicbidemi amole
79′Kaare BarslundObilor Okeke
80′Rasmus ÖrqvistRasmus Bergvall
82′Montader MadjedTesfaldet Tekie
89′Oscar JohanssonOliver Jordan Hagen
89′Paulos AbrahamSuwaibou Kebbeh

3Arena, StockholmReferee: Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden

Hammarby FF 75%
Draw 16%
IF Brommapojkarna 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
60 Possession % 40
6 Corners 4
16 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 5
1 Saves 5
575 Accurate passes 348

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHammarby FFDrawIF Brommapojkarna
Model62.3%22.3%15.4%
Market78.9%13.3%7.8%
Final74.8%15.6%9.7%
Edge-16.6%+9.0%+7.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Hammarby FF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.95.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hammarby FF ↓ / IF Brommapojka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals

Hammarby FF 2.07
IF Brommapojkarna 0.95

Total expected goals: 3.02

Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna attack and defence ratings

Hammarby FF

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.73 -27%

IF Brommapojkarna

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna: result vs prediction

Hammarby FF 3 – 1 IF Brommapojkarna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hammarby FF 74.8% 1.34 -16.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.3% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Hammarby FF win 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hammarby FF74.8%
Draw15.6%
IF Brommapojkarna9.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.3%
12 (either side)84.4%
X2 (draw or away)25.2%
Handicap -1Hammarby FF win39.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss37.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-010.5%
2-19.9%

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna stats

Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hammarby FF and IF Brommapojkarna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hammarby FF record

  • They have won 11 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IF Brommapojkarna record

  • They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Hammarby FF wins 2Draws 2IF Brommapojkarna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFAllsvenskan1-1
2025-09-04IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFFriendlies Clubs1-4
2025-07-20Hammarby FFIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan3-2
2025-04-06IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFAllsvenskan0-2
2024-08-12Hammarby FFIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan3-3
2024-07-20IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFAllsvenskan0-2
2024-06-23IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFFriendlies Clubs3-1
2023-07-21IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFAllsvenskan1-0
2023-06-09Hammarby FFIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan2-1
2020-03-01IF BrommapojkarnaHammarby FFSvenska Cupen0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.4%, draw 13.2%, away 8.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.22 6.50 11.00
1xBet 1.18 7.30 12.00
888Sport 1.20 6.00 10.00
Bet365 1.18 8.00 11.00
BetVictor 1.15 7.00 12.00
Betano 1.21 6.60 11.00
Betfair 1.17 7.00 13.00
Dafabet 1.22 7.00 11.00
Marathonbet 1.17 7.30 12.25
Pinnacle 1.20 7.78 12.32
SBO 1.18 5.70 8.30
Unibet 1.22 6.25 11.00
William Hill 1.18 7.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.18 ▼ -0.03
X 7.00 ▲ +0.50
2 12.00 ▲ +1.36

13 snapshots recorded, from .