Malmo FF
vs
Orgryte IS
4 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | kenan busuladzicJovan Milosavljević | ||
| 49′ | Viktor EkblomAnton Andreasson | ||
| 52′ | Adrian Skogmar | ||
| 58′ | Jovan Milosavljević | ||
| 68′ | Theodor LundberghIsaac Assibu | ||
| 68′ | BusanelloNoah Åstrand John | ||
| 71′ | Otto Rosengren | ||
| 74′ | Anton Sebastian Höög | ||
| 77′ | Christoffer StyffeJohan Hammar | ||
| 77′ | Daniel PaulsonDavid Obou | ||
| 77′ | Benjamin laturnusMarlon Ebietomere | ||
| 80′ | Stian Gregersen | ||
| 82′ | Tobias Sana | ||
| 86′ | Anton Sebastian HöögViggo Jeppsson | ||
| 86′ | Malte Vilhelm Frejd PålssonBleon Kurtulus | ||
| 86′ | S.LagerlundHampus Dahlqvist | ||
| 90′ | Bleon Kurtulus | ||
| 90′ | Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup | ||
| 90′ | Owen Parker Price |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 0 | Saves | 10 |
| 464 | Accurate passes | 333 |
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS
| Probability | Malmo FF | Draw | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 23.9% | 21.0% |
| Market | 66.1% | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| Final | 63.3% | 20.4% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -11.1% | +4.7% | +6.3% |
Why Malmo FF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malmo FF and Orgryte IS expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Malmo FF and Orgryte IS attack and defence ratings
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS: result vs prediction
Malmo FF 4 – 1 Orgryte IS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malmo FF | 63.3% | 1.58 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malmo FF | 63.3% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Orgryte IS | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malmo FF win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS stats
Malmo FF and Orgryte IS recent form
| Malmo FF |
DWWLWL |
| Orgryte IS |
DLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malmo FF and Orgryte IS going into this match
Malmo FF record
- They have won 9 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 3 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Orgryte IS | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 19.2%, away 14.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.36 | 5.10 | 7.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 4.85 | 6.34 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 5.25 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.85 | 6.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.95 | 6.43 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.44 | 5.99 |
| Unibet | 1.32 | 5.30 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .