Allsvenskan · 2026-09-06T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 20

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF

1 – 1 Full time

11′			W. Hofvander
18′			V. Lind
60′			O. JohanssonN. Besara
67′			A. AndreassonV. Ekblom
74′			W. HofvanderD. Obou
75′			N. PerssonO. Steinke
75′			P. AbrahamS. Kebbeh
90′			Markus Karlsson
90′			Victor Eriksson
90′			C. StyffeJ. Azulay
90′			D. PaulsonM. Parker

Gamla Ullevi, GothenburgReferee: Fredrik Klitte, Sweden

Orgryte IS

11%

Draw

16%

Hammarby FF

73%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

2	Shots	24
1	Shots on target	10
30	Possession %	70
2	Corners	8
6	Fouls	13
1	Offsides	1
8	Saves	0
253	Accurate passes	718

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Orgryte IS	Draw	Hammarby FF
Model	18.8%	22.9%	58.3%
Market	8.3%	13.7%	78.0%
Final	10.9%	16.0%	73.1%
Edge	+10.5%	+9.2%	-19.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Hammarby FF

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.10.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

61%

No goals

Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF expected goals

Orgryte IS

1.10

Hammarby FF

2.05

Total expected goals: 3.15

Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF attack and defence ratings

Orgryte IS

Attack

0.97 -3%

Defence

1.21 +21%

Hammarby FF

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF: result vs prediction

Orgryte IS 1 – 1 Hammarby FF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Gais vs BK Hacken — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad · 2026-09-05
Vasteras SK FK v Sirius — match page · 2026-09-05
IF Brommapojkarna vs IF Elfsborg · 2026-09-06
Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF — match page · 2026-09-07
Malmo FF vs AIK Stockholm — team news & stats · 2026-09-07
Mjallby AIF vs IFK Goteborg · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Orgryte IS, previous: IFK Goteborg v Orgryte IS analysis
Orgryte IS, next: Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS prediction
Hammarby FF, previous: AIK Stockholm – Hammarby FF, 2026-08-30
Hammarby FF, next: Hammarby FF v IF Brommapojkarna analysis

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Hammarby FF	73.1%	1.37	-19.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.0%	1.64	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.1%	1.69	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	89.1%	1.12	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	41.7%	2.40	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Orgryte IS	10.9%
	Draw	16.0%
	Hammarby FF	73.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.0%
	Under 2.5	39.0%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.1%
	No	40.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	26.9%
	12 (either side)	84.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	89.1%
Handicap -1	Hammarby FF win	36.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.2%
	Loss	41.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.6%
	1-2	9.9%
	0-2	9.0%

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF stats

Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF recent form

newest first

Orgryte IS	LWDLLW
Hammarby FF	LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orgryte IS and Hammarby FF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Orgryte IS record

They have won 3 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hammarby FF record

They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Orgryte IS wins 0Draws 1Hammarby FF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-18	Hammarby FF	Orgryte IS	Allsvenskan	8-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.3%, draw 13.8%, away 77.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	13.00	6.20	1.20
1xBet	11.50	6.85	1.20
Bet365	10.00	7.00	1.22
BetVictor	10.50	6.50	1.18
Betano	10.00	6.10	1.24
Betfair	12.00	7.00	1.20
Dafabet	10.00	6.80	1.24
Marathonbet	11.75	6.85	1.19
Pinnacle	11.63	7.29	1.22
SBO	7.91	5.70	1.22
Unibet	12.00	6.75	1.19
William Hill	11.00	6.50	1.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 11.25 ▲ +2.18

X 6.85 ▲ +1.25

2 1.20 ▼ -0.07

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.