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Svenska Cupen · Full time ·Final

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF

1 – 0 Full time

11′M. Berg
Trollhättan 21%
Draw 21%
Mjallby AIF 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrollhättanDrawMjallby AIF
Model43.5%27.6%28.9%
Market13.0%18.5%68.5%
Final20.6%20.8%58.6%
Edge+30.5%+9.1%-39.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trollhättan ↓ / Mjallby AIF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Trollhättan and Mjallby AIF expected goals

Trollhättan 1.53
Mjallby AIF 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.75

Trollhättan and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

Trollhättan

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Mjallby AIF

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF: result vs prediction

Trollhättan 1 – 0 Mjallby AIF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Final fixtures

Svenska Cupen

Before and after this match

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mjallby AIF 58.6% 1.71 -39.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.1% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trollhättan20.6%
Draw20.8%
Mjallby AIF58.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.7%
Under 2.548.3%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.4%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)79.4%
Handicap -1Mjallby AIF win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss71.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF stats

Trollhättan and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first
Trollhättan WL
Mjallby AIF LDDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Trollhättan wins 2Draws 0Mjallby AIF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-10-09TrollhättanMjallby AIFEttan - Södra1-1
2016-04-24Mjallby AIFTrollhättanEttan - Södra2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.0%, draw 18.5%, away 68.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 8.00 4.85 1.29
Bet365 7.00 5.50 1.27
BetVictor 6.50 4.20 1.25
Betano 6.10 4.75 1.39
Betfair 8.00 5.00 1.25
Marathonbet 6.65 4.50 1.34
Pinnacle 6.56 4.83 1.30
William Hill 8.00 4.60 1.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.