Garuda Lions
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Svenska Cupen · Full time ·Final

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF

1 – 7 Full time

2′P. Dibba
29′M. Larsson
45′A. Johansson
76′A. Andersson
79′C. Almyras
85′A. Andersson
86′C. Rosenqvist
90′A. Agbejoye
Haninge 5%
Draw 11%
Djurgardens IF 84%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Haninge vs Djurgardens IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHaningeDrawDjurgardens IF
Model10.3%18.4%71.3%
Market3.4%7.9%88.7%
Final5.1%10.5%84.3%
Edge+6.9%+10.5%-17.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Djurgardens IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Haninge ↓ / Djurgardens IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 10% 1 9% 9% 8% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Haninge and Djurgardens IF expected goals

Haninge 0.83
Djurgardens IF 2.39

Total expected goals: 3.22

Haninge and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings

Haninge

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF: result vs prediction

Haninge 1 – 7 Djurgardens IF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Final fixtures

Svenska Cupen

Before and after this match

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 84.3% 1.19 -17.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.3% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 94.9% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Djurgardens IF win 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Haninge5.1%
Draw10.5%
Djurgardens IF84.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)15.7%
12 (either side)89.5%
X2 (draw or away)94.9%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win49.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss28.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.5%
1-29.5%
0-39.1%

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF stats

Haninge and Djurgardens IF recent form

newest first
Haninge WLW
Djurgardens IF WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Haninge vs Djurgardens IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 4.2%, draw 7.8%, away 88.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 27.00 11.70 1.01
Bet365 29.00 13.00 1.04
BetVictor 12.00 6.50 1.04
Betano 15.50 8.25 1.08
Betfair 23.00 13.00 1.04
Dafabet 21.00 11.00 1.07
Marathonbet 27.00 11.75 1.01
Superbet 18.00 12.00 1.05
Unibet 21.00 14.00 1.04
William Hill 36.00 10.00 1.06

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 27.00 ▲ +5.50
X 11.70 ▲ +0.95
2 1.04 ▼ -0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .