UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

2 – 1 Full time

6′Sebastian Herrera
10′Bart Meijers
10′C. Dessers
29′Amer Hiroš
67′V. TabordaA. Tetteh
67′C. DessersL. Garcia
70′K. Kangwa
74′A. RoguljicV. Rogan
74′A. HirosM. Deket
80′S. AndinoA. Jagusic
80′A. OunahiE. Rastoder
80′M. Jojic
84′B. CipeticD. Vukovic
87′L. JuricicS. Vranjes

Olympic Stadium of Athens, AthensReferee: B. Csonka

Panathinaikos 70%
Draw 18%
Borac Banja Luka 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

31 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 2
63 Possession % 37
11 Corners 0
19 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 8
565 Accurate passes 313

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPanathinaikosDrawBorac Banja Luka
Model45.6%30.2%24.2%
Market78.3%14.3%7.4%
Final70.1%18.3%11.6%
Edge-8.2%+4.0%+4.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Panathinaikos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.92.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Panathinaikos ↓ / Borac Banja Lu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka expected goals

Panathinaikos 1.36
Borac Banja Luka 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.28

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka attack and defence ratings

Panathinaikos

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Borac Banja Luka

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: result vs prediction

Panathinaikos 2 – 1 Borac Banja Luka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Panathinaikos 70.1% 1.43 -8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Panathinaikos70.1%
Draw18.3%
Borac Banja Luka11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.8%
Under 2.560.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.0%
No54.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)81.7%
X2 (draw or away)29.9%
Handicap -1Panathinaikos win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-012.6%
0-011.5%

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka stats

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Panathinaikos record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Borac Banja Luka record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Panathinaikos wins 1Draws 0Borac Banja Luka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-10-03Borac Banja LukaPanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.3%, draw 14.3%, away 7.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 6.87 12.70
Bet365 1.20 7.00 13.00
BetVictor 1.17 6.50 15.00
Betano 1.24 6.80 13.50
Betfair 1.17 6.50 14.00
Dafabet 1.22 7.00 13.00
Marathonbet 1.21 6.20 11.50
Pinnacle 1.23 6.89 11.55
SBO 1.20 5.90 10.12
William Hill 1.22 6.00 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▼ -0.08
X 6.65 ▲ +1.45
2 12.85 ▲ +3.85

14 snapshots recorded, from .