Panathinaikos
vs
Borac Banja Luka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panathinaikos
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
| Probability | Panathinaikos | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 26.1% | 17.8% |
| Market | 71.8% | 17.9% | 10.3% |
| Final | 67.9% | 19.9% | 12.2% |
| Edge | -15.7% | +8.2% | +7.5% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka match preview
Panathinaikos is set to host Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 15, 2026. The model predicts a 56% probability of a Panathinaikos victory, while a draw stands at 26% and Borac Banja Luka at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Panathinaikos is 1.71, compared to Borac Banja Luka's 0.87.
In terms of recent form, Panathinaikos has been impressive, winning their last six matches. Borac Banja Luka has also shown good form with four wins in their last six, but they have one loss and one draw in that span. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with a 48% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a nearly equal 49% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka attack and defence ratings
Panathinaikos
Borac Banja Luka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- FC Lugano v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page
- HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax — match page
- Gent vs Aarhus — team news & stats
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland — match page
Before and after this match
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 67.9% | 1.47 | -15.7% | 1.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 67.9% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Borac Banja Luka | 12.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.7% |
| No | 51.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.1% |
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka stats
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka recent form
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
| Borac Banja Luka |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka season so far
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Borac Banja Luka record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.8%, draw 17.9%, away 10.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.56 | 10.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.40 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.15 | 9.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.16 | 7.68 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 4.84 | 7.14 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .