Super League 1
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
Panathinaikos
1 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | Kostas Fortounis | ||
| 25′ | Vicente Taborda | ||
| 34′ | Panagiotis Retsos | ||
| 43′ | Santino Andino | ||
| 45′ | Panagiotis Retsos | ||
| 45′ | Etiene CamaraKings Kangwa | ||
| 45′ | Giorgos KyriakopoulosAnass Salah-Eddine | ||
| 47′ | Anass Salah-Eddine | ||
| 51′ | Stefan de Vrij | ||
| 62′ | Vicente TabordaLevi García | ||
| 63′ | Manolis Saliakas | ||
| 66′ | Manolis Saliakas | ||
| 69′ | Marius MouandilmadjiRoman Yaremchuk | ||
| 70′ | Kostas FortounisGelson Martins | ||
| 70′ | ChiquinhoMarcus Pedersen | ||
| 73′ | Santino AndinoCyriel Dessers | ||
| 77′ | Levi García | ||
| 82′ | Imrân Louza | ||
| 83′ | Nayair TiknizyanBruno Onyemaechi | ||
| 83′ | Azzedine OunahiAdriano Jagusic | ||
| 89′ | Gustavo PuertaSantiago Hezze | ||
| 90′ | Adriano Jagusic |
Olympiakos Piraeus
41%
Draw
31%
Panathinaikos
29%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 236 | Accurate passes | 378 |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Olympiakos Piraeus | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.4% | 32.9% | 36.7% |
| Market | 44.1% | 30.0% | 25.9% |
| Final | 40.7% | 30.7% | 28.6% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +0.7% | +2.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos expected goals
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.97
Panathinaikos
1.09
Total expected goals: 2.06
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Panathinaikos
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
0.63 -37%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos: result vs prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus 1 – 0 Panathinaikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 40.7% | 2.46 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 40.7% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Panathinaikos | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 69.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.5% |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos stats
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos recent form
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WWLWDW |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos going into this match
Olympiakos Piraeus record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Olympiakos Piraeus wins
4Draws
1Panathinaikos wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 4-2 |
| 2025-02-05 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-26 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 30.0%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.05 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.05 | 3.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.11 | 3.87 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.96 | 3.14 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.11 ▲ +0.08
X
3.10 ▼ -0.15
2
3.60 —
46 snapshots recorded, from .