Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
Panathinaikos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Olympiakos Piraeus | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 32.8% | 37.3% |
| Market | 43.9% | 28.8% | 27.3% |
| Final | 40.4% | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| Edge | -14.1% | +4.0% | +10.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus faces Panathinaikos in a Super League 1 match on October 11, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the outcome are 40% for Olympiakos Piraeus to win, while both a draw and a Panathinaikos victory sit at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Olympiakos, with an 11% likelihood. The expected goals are 0.96 for Olympiakos and 1.11 for Panathinaikos.
Recent form shows Olympiakos Piraeus with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Panathinaikos is on a six-match winning streak. In their last four head-to-head encounters, Olympiakos has secured two wins, with one draw and one win for Panathinaikos. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 40.4% | 2.47 | -14.1% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 40.4% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Panathinaikos | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.6% |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos stats
Olympiakos Piraeus and Panathinaikos recent form
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WWLWDW |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Panathinaikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 28.8%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.22 | 3.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.22 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.31 | 3.45 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.01 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .