Kalamata
vs
Panathinaikos
0 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | Andrews Tetteh | ||
| 42′ | Julio Alonso | ||
| 44′ | Kings Kangwa | ||
| 57′ | M. BakayokoJ. Cataldi | ||
| 65′ | Azzedine OunahiCyriel Dessers | ||
| 65′ | Kings KangwaImrân Louza | ||
| 73′ | Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira | ||
| 78′ | Erik HamzaJulián Bonetto | ||
| 79′ | Andrews TettehTriantafyllos Tsapras | ||
| 84′ | Djibril DiarraIlias Chatzitheodoridis | ||
| 84′ | Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroDavid Kurminowski | ||
| 84′ | Julio AlonsoArgyrios Liatsikouras | ||
| 90′ | Levi GarcíaElmin Rastoder | ||
| 90′ | J. Cataldi |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 225 | Accurate passes | 461 |
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Kalamata | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 27.9% | 43.4% |
| Market | 9.9% | 17.6% | 72.4% |
| Final | 14.6% | 20.2% | 65.2% |
| Edge | +18.7% | +10.3% | -29.0% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalamata and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Kalamata and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Kalamata
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos: result vs prediction
Kalamata 0 – 1 Panathinaikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 65.2% | 1.53 | -29.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 14.6% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Panathinaikos | 65.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos stats
Kalamata and Panathinaikos recent form
| Kalamata |
DWDDLL |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.9%, draw 17.6%, away 72.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.30 | 5.50 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 5.25 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.25 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 9.25 | 5.30 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 9.40 | 5.50 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 9.67 | 5.80 | 1.30 |
| SBO | 7.14 | 4.81 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .