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Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus

0 – 1 Full time

18′Giannis Kosti
23′Giorgos Nikas
51′Jota Silva
54′Georgios VrakasOctavian Popescu
54′Mahamadou BaldeDimitrios Emmanouilidis
59′Roman YaremchukMarius Mouandilmadji
59′ChiquinhoGelson Martins
61′Agustin UrziGeorgios Manthatis
65′David Carmo
66′Marcus PedersenManolis Saliakas
66′Kostas FortounisJoel Roca
72′Alexandru Grigoraş Pantea
76′Jota SilvaArmando González
78′Moses David CobnanPanagiotis Liagas
90′Manolis Saliakas

Levadia Municipal Stadium, LevajaReferee: Stavros Tsimenteridis

Levadiakos 13%
Draw 22%
Olympiakos Piraeus 66%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
29 Possession % 71
4 Corners 9
17 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
2 Saves 4
132 Accurate passes 426

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLevadiakosDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Model21.3%28.9%49.7%
Market10.1%19.1%70.8%
Final12.9%21.5%65.5%
Edge+11.2%+9.8%-21.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Levadiakos ↓ / Olympiakos Pir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Levadiakos and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals

Levadiakos 0.88
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.36

Levadiakos and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings

Levadiakos

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result vs prediction

Levadiakos 0 – 1 Olympiakos Piraeus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus 65.5% 1.53 -21.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Levadiakos12.9%
Draw21.5%
Olympiakos Piraeus65.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.8%
Under 2.558.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.4%
No53.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)34.5%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)87.1%
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss50.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-112.7%
0-010.7%

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats

Levadiakos and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form

newest first
Levadiakos DLLLWL
Olympiakos Piraeus WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Levadiakos wins 2Draws 7Olympiakos Piraeus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14LevadiakosOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-0
2025-09-27Olympiakos PiraeusLevadiakosSuper League 13-2
2025-02-02LevadiakosOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-1
2024-10-20Olympiakos PiraeusLevadiakosSuper League 12-2
2023-03-05Olympiakos PiraeusLevadiakosSuper League 16-0
2022-11-09LevadiakosOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-1
2021-12-22Olympiakos PiraeusLevadiakosCup2-0
2021-12-01LevadiakosOlympiakos PiraeusCup3-2
2019-01-13LevadiakosOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-2
2018-09-27Olympiakos PiraeusLevadiakosCup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 19.1%, away 70.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.25 4.90 1.32
Bet365 9.00 5.00 1.33
BetVictor 9.50 4.75 1.33
Betano 9.25 4.80 1.36
Betfair 10.00 5.00 1.29
Marathonbet 9.30 4.90 1.31
Pinnacle 10.88 5.22 1.31
SBO 7.72 4.30 1.32
William Hill 8.50 4.40 1.35

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.25 ▲ +1.10
X 4.90 ▲ +0.45
2 1.32 ▼ -0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .