Aris Thessalonikis
vs
Iraklis 1908
0 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | Martin Hongla | ||
| 37′ | Ivi López | ||
| 44′ | Praxitelis Vouros | ||
| 65′ | Loren MoronChristian Kouamé | ||
| 65′ | Martin HonglaFredrik Jensen | ||
| 65′ | Benjamin GarréManu García | ||
| 69′ | Yohan Roche | ||
| 73′ | Mike·van BeijnenMarco Krainz | ||
| 75′ | Giannis GianniotasMigouel Alfarela | ||
| 81′ | Tino KadewereRafa Mir | ||
| 89′ | Ivi LópezVitor Meer |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 370 | Accurate passes | 245 |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908
| Probability | Aris Thessalonikis | Draw | Iraklis 1908 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 27.8% | 20.1% |
| Market | 55.7% | 25.7% | 18.6% |
| Final | 54.8% | 26.2% | 19.0% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +2.1% | +1.5% |
Why Aris Thessalonikis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aris Thessalonikis and Iraklis 1908 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Aris Thessalonikis and Iraklis 1908 attack and defence ratings
Aris Thessalonikis
Iraklis 1908
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908: result vs prediction
Aris Thessalonikis 0 – 0 Iraklis 1908
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 54.8% | 1.82 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 54.8% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Iraklis 1908 | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 2-0 | 10.6% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 stats
Aris Thessalonikis and Iraklis 1908 recent form
| Aris Thessalonikis |
WLDLWW |
| Iraklis 1908 |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 1908 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 25.7%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.62 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.62 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.74 | 5.26 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.37 | 4.53 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .