Panetolikos
vs
PAOK
1 – 3 Full time
| 30′ | Gustav Granath | ||
| 33′ | Taha Ali | ||
| 39′ | Cherif Ndiaye | ||
| 40′ | Konstantinos Thymianis | ||
| 45′ | Apostolos ApostolopoulosChristian Manrique | ||
| 45′ | Lazar KojićDiego Esteban | ||
| 48′ | Taha AliShola Shoretire | ||
| 51′ | Diego Esteban | ||
| 64′ | Moussa DjenepoSalifou Soumah | ||
| 64′ | Kwadwo OpokuKosta Aleksic | ||
| 65′ | Marvelous Nakamba | ||
| 70′ | Yannis Anastasiou | ||
| 73′ | Jiří PavlenkaAntonis Tsiftsis | ||
| 73′ | Aritz ElustondoDimitris Bataoulas | ||
| 73′ | Dimitrios PelkasOgnjen ugresic | ||
| 81′ | Diego Esteban | ||
| 86′ | Marvelous NakambaMateo Mejia | ||
| 86′ | Christos ZafeirisBaptiste Santamaria | ||
| 89′ | Kristijan Jakić | ||
| 90′ | Abdul Rahman Baba | ||
| 90′ | Shola Shoretire |
Match stats
| 2 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 318 | Accurate passes | 249 |
Panetolikos vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panetolikos vs PAOK
| Probability | Panetolikos | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 27.9% | 36.7% |
| Market | 14.9% | 22.8% | 62.3% |
| Final | 20.1% | 24.1% | 55.9% |
| Edge | +20.4% | +5.1% | -25.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panetolikos and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Panetolikos and PAOK attack and defence ratings
Panetolikos
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panetolikos vs PAOK: result vs prediction
Panetolikos 1 – 3 PAOK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panetolikos vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 55.9% | 1.79 | -25.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 20.1% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| PAOK | 55.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Panetolikos vs PAOK stats
Panetolikos and PAOK recent form
| Panetolikos |
LWWWLL |
| PAOK |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panetolikos vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Panetolikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Panetolikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-25 | Panetolikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-12 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-22 | Panetolikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-20 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-15 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2022-01-12 | PAOK | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panetolikos vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 22.8%, away 62.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.28 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 4.15 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.47 |
| Marathonbet | 6.25 | 4.10 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 6.84 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| SBO | 5.61 | 3.83 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .