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Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC

1 – 2 Full time

6′Petros Mantalos
12′Jorge Samuel Figueiredo FernandesLazaros Lamprou
15′Milan Vitális
29′Hamza Mendyl
45′Milan VitálisAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador
59′Petros MantalosJoão Mário
59′Dženis BurnićYvan Neyou Noupa
61′Luka Jovic
74′Stefanos KatsikasFrancesc Regis
74′Maximiliano CombaVasileios Grosdis
74′Matías Nahuel GonzálezGiorgos Charalampoglou
79′Luka Jovic
79′Gustavo Furtado
83′Aboubakary KoitaKervin Arriaga
85′Giorgos Charalampoglou
88′Luka Jovic
90′Lovro MajerOleksandr Zubkov
90′Luka JovicDereck Kutesa
90′M. Nikolić
90′Giorgos Migas
90′Hamza Mendyl
90′Yvan Neyou Noupa

Panthessaliko Stadium, VolosReferee: Fotios Polychronis

Volos NFC 9%
Draw 16%
AEK Athens FC 75%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
40 Possession % 60
3 Corners 5
17 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 5
0 Saves 3
205 Accurate passes 360

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVolos NFCDrawAEK Athens FC
Model5.1%11.1%83.7%
Market10.1%17.8%72.0%
Final8.9%16.2%75.0%
Edge-5.0%-6.7%+11.7%

Confidence: Low

Why AEK Athens FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.23 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices AEK Athens FC below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Volos NFC ↓ / AEK Athens FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 19% 1 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 2%

Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC expected goals

Volos NFC 0.77
AEK Athens FC 3.23

Total expected goals: 4.01

Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC attack and defence ratings

Volos NFC

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.54 +54%

AEK Athens FC

Attack 1.88 +88%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC: result vs prediction

Volos NFC 1 – 2 AEK Athens FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AEK Athens FC 75.0% 1.33 +11.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.1% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 91.1% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 AEK Athens FC win 67.3% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Volos NFC8.9%
Draw16.2%
AEK Athens FC75.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.1%
Under 2.523.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.0%
12 (either side)83.8%
X2 (draw or away)91.1%
Handicap -1AEK Athens FC win67.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss16.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-310.3%
0-29.5%
0-48.3%

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC stats

Volos NFC and AEK Athens FC recent form

newest first
Volos NFC LLDDDL
AEK Athens FC WDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Volos NFC wins 1Draws 9AEK Athens FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Volos NFCAEK Athens FCSuper League 12-2
2025-09-28AEK Athens FCVolos NFCSuper League 11-0
2025-01-05Volos NFCAEK Athens FCSuper League 12-4
2024-09-16AEK Athens FCVolos NFCSuper League 12-0
2024-01-03AEK Athens FCVolos NFCSuper League 13-0
2023-09-03Volos NFCAEK Athens FCSuper League 12-3
2023-07-23Volos NFCAEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs0-3
2023-05-14AEK Athens FCVolos NFCSuper League 14-0
2023-04-05Volos NFCAEK Athens FCSuper League 10-1
2022-12-28Volos NFCAEK Athens FCSuper League 10-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 17.8%, away 72.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.10 5.30 1.30
Bet365 10.00 5.00 1.33
BetVictor 9.50 5.25 1.29
Betano 9.25 5.30 1.33
Betfair 9.50 5.00 1.29
Marathonbet 9.20 5.30 1.28
Pinnacle 9.46 5.60 1.32
SBO 7.91 5.03 1.26
William Hill 8.50 5.00 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.25 ▲ +0.25
X 5.25 ▲ +0.22
2 1.30 ▼ -0.01

14 snapshots recorded, from .