Super League 1 · 2026-09-13T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Kalamata vs Volos NFC

3 – 1 Full time

26′			Matías Nahuel González
34′			Vasileios Grosdis
37′			Matías Nahuel González
49′			Hatim Es-SaoubiDerek Agyakwa
56′			Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro
59′			Erik Hamza
60′			Vasileios GrosdisDženis Burnić
60′			Gustavo FurtadoFrancesc Regis
65′			Julián BonettoArgyrios Liatsikouras
69′			Julio Alonso
76′			Hamza Mendyl
77′			Hamza MendylGiorgos Migas
77′			Matías Nahuel GonzálezGiorgos Charalampoglou
78′			Arnór SigurðssonDjibril Diarra
79′			Giorgos Migas
84′			Jovanny Bolivar
90′			Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroM. Bakayoko
90′			Jovanny BolivarIlias Chatzitheodoridis
90′			Erik Hamza

Peristeri Stadium, PeristeriReferee: Vasilios Fitsas

Kalamata

45%

Draw

28%

Volos NFC

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	11
6	Shots on target	5
46	Possession %	54
6	Corners	3
16	Fouls	14
3	Offsides	0
4	Saves	3
259	Accurate passes	289

Kalamata vs Volos NFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kalamata vs Volos NFC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Kalamata	Draw	Volos NFC
Model	65.2%	20.1%	14.6%
Market	37.9%	30.0%	32.1%
Final	44.8%	27.5%	27.7%
Edge	+27.3%	-9.9%	-17.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Kalamata

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.04.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Kalamata below the model: +27.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

86%

3+ goals

65%

No goals

Kalamata and Volos NFC expected goals

Kalamata

2.33

Volos NFC

1.04

Total expected goals: 3.37

Kalamata and Volos NFC attack and defence ratings

Kalamata

Attack

1.11 +11%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Volos NFC

Attack

1.03 +3%

Defence

1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kalamata vs Volos NFC: result vs prediction

Kalamata 3 – 1 Volos NFC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Super League 1

Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI · 2026-09-12
Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos · 2026-09-12
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC · 2026-09-13
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Kifisia vs Levadiakos — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Panathinaikos v Panetolikos — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Kalamata, previous: Atromitos v Kalamata analysis
Kalamata, next: Kalamata v Larisa analysis
Volos NFC, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus – Volos NFC, 2026-09-08
Volos NFC, next: Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC: odds and pick

Kalamata vs Volos NFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Kalamata	44.8%	2.23	+27.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.4%	1.53	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.2%	1.69	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Kalamata win	43.5%	2.30	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Kalamata	44.8%
	Draw	27.5%
	Volos NFC	27.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.4%
	Under 2.5	34.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.2%
	No	40.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.3%
	12 (either side)	72.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	55.2%
Handicap -1	Kalamata win	43.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.7%
	Loss	34.8%
Correct score (top 3)	2-1	9.7%
	2-0	9.3%
	1-1	9.2%

Kalamata vs Volos NFC stats

Kalamata and Volos NFC recent form

newest first

Kalamata	DDLLWW
Volos NFC	LDDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kalamata vs Volos NFC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Kalamata wins 1Draws 0Volos NFC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-09-01	Volos NFC	Kalamata	Greece Cup	2-2
2026-08-10	Volos NFC	Kalamata	Friendlies Clubs	0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kalamata vs Volos NFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 30.1%, away 32.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.52	3.00	2.78
1xBet	2.46	3.16	2.90
888Sport	2.50	2.90	2.88
Bet365	2.55	3.10	2.90
Betano	2.55	3.10	3.00
Betfair	2.40	3.10	2.88
Dafabet	2.50	3.15	3.00
Marathonbet	2.44	3.16	2.89
Pinnacle	2.53	3.20	3.02
SBO	2.33	2.89	2.66
Unibet	2.38	3.10	3.00
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.02

X 3.10 —

2 2.90 ▲ +0.10

17 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T08:10:01Z.