Kalamata
vs
Larisa
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | A. Parras | ||
| 21′ | J. Bonetto | ||
| 42′ | A. ParrasV. Nikokyrakis | ||
| 45′ | V. Nikokyrakis | ||
| 46′ | D. DiarraG. Pineiro | ||
| 46′ | S. AngelisJ. Bolivar | ||
| 60′ | L. AndradaA. Tsingaras | ||
| 60′ | C. AlbanisK. Papageorgiou | ||
| 64′ | J. CataldiJ. Alonso | ||
| 64′ | E. HamzaS. Mouzakis | ||
| 77′ | U. IgnjatovicP. Kaloutsikidis | ||
| 81′ | N. NitsosA. Dabizas | ||
| 81′ | K. GrozosE. Sakic | ||
| 83′ | J. Bolivar | ||
| 90′ | G. Pineiro | ||
| 90′ | V. Nikokyrakis | ||
| 90′ | J. Alonso | ||
| 90′ | D. Silva | ||
| 90′ | N. Melissas |
Kalamata vs Larisa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalamata vs Larisa
| Probability | Kalamata | Draw | Larisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.7% | 23.9% | 22.4% |
| Market | 59.3% | 24.5% | 16.2% |
| Final | 57.9% | 24.4% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -5.6% | -0.6% | +6.2% |
Why Kalamata
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalamata and Larisa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Kalamata and Larisa attack and defence ratings
Kalamata
Larisa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kalamata vs Larisa: result vs prediction
Kalamata 1 – 1 Larisa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Greek Cup - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalamata vs Larisa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 57.9% | 1.73 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 57.9% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Larisa | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalamata win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Kalamata vs Larisa stats
Kalamata vs Larisa head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-19 | Kalamata | Larisa | Greece Cup | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-04 | Larisa | Kalamata | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-30 | Kalamata | Larisa | Cup | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kalamata vs Larisa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 24.5%, away 16.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 3.65 | 5.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.85 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 3.65 | 5.50 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.38 | 4.58 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .