Atromitos
vs
PAOK
0 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | A. Mythou | ||
| 28′ | S. Pnevmonidis | ||
| 46′ | L. LyratzisM. Mountes | ||
| 56′ | S. ZuberJ. Perea | ||
| 58′ | O. UgresicC. Zafeiris | ||
| 65′ | M. CamaraD. Pelkas | ||
| 65′ | A. ElustondoC. Ndiaye | ||
| 66′ | A. MythouD. Bataoulas | ||
| 68′ | A. KaramanisS. Tsiloulis | ||
| 69′ | P. TsantilasA. Kotsis | ||
| 71′ | J. Perea | ||
| 80′ | SerginhoG. Papadopoulos | ||
| 86′ | T. AliB. Santamaria | ||
| 90′ | A. Tsiftsis |
Atromitos vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atromitos vs PAOK
| Probability | Atromitos | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 26.5% | 26.9% |
| Market | 19.7% | 26.8% | 53.5% |
| Final | 26.4% | 26.7% | 46.9% |
| Edge | +27.0% | -0.3% | -26.7% |
Why PAOK
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atromitos and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Atromitos and PAOK attack and defence ratings
Atromitos
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atromitos vs PAOK: result vs prediction
Atromitos 0 – 1 PAOK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Greek Cup - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atromitos vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 46.9% | 2.13 | -26.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atromitos | 26.4% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| PAOK | 46.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 72.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Atromitos vs PAOK stats
Atromitos vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-06 | PAOK | Atromitos | Greece Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-22 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2022-12-28 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atromitos vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 26.8%, away 53.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.62 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 5.30 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.65 |
| Marathonbet | 4.50 | 3.30 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.50 | 3.35 | 1.75 |
| SBO | 5.13 | 3.56 | 1.49 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .