Super League 1 · 2026-09-12T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

1 – 1 Full time

10′			Kylian Kaiboue
19′			Vitor Meer
24′			Sotiris Tsiloulis
31′			Sotiris Tsiloulis
38′			Juan José Perea
45′			Kylian KaiboueNemanja Radoja
45′			Vitor MeerIvi López
56′			Sotiris TsiloulisS. Pnevmonidis
57′			Juan José PereaPanagiotis Tsantilas
57′			NanuPedro Marques
60′			S. Pnevmonidis
71′			Mattheos MountesAthanasios Karamanis
73′			Pedro Marques
77′			Ivi López
82′			Mike·van BeijnenMarco Krainz
82′			Lefteris LyratzisSerginho
85′			Dimitrios Stavropoulos
86′			Elvir KoljićKristian Kushta

Kaftanzoglio Stadio, ThessalonikiReferee: Eleftherios Katopis

Iraklis 1908

30%

Draw

30%

Atromitos

39%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

6	Shots	7
1	Shots on target	3
59	Possession %	41
1	Corners	0

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Iraklis 1908	Draw	Atromitos
Model	24.8%	28.6%	46.6%
Market	32.3%	31.1%	36.6%
Final	30.4%	30.5%	39.1%
Edge	-7.5%	-2.5%	+10.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Atromitos

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.02.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Atromitos below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos expected goals

Iraklis 1908

1.02

Atromitos

1.49

Total expected goals: 2.51

Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos attack and defence ratings

Iraklis 1908

Attack

0.80 -20%

Defence

1.01 +1%

Atromitos

Attack

1.31 +31%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos: result vs prediction

Iraklis 1908 1 – 1 Atromitos

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Super League 1

Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI · 2026-09-12
Kalamata v Volos NFC — match page · 2026-09-13
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC · 2026-09-13
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Kifisia vs Levadiakos — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Panathinaikos v Panetolikos — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Iraklis 1908, previous: Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis: odds and pick
Iraklis 1908, next: Aris Thessalonikis – Iraklis 1908, 2026-09-19
Atromitos, previous: Atromitos v Kalamata analysis
Atromitos, next: Atromitos – PAOK, 2026-09-16

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Atromitos	39.1%	2.56	+10.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.2%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	50.7%	1.97	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	69.6%	1.44	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	53.3%	1.88	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Iraklis 1908	30.4%
	Draw	30.5%
	Atromitos	39.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.8%
	Under 2.5	54.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	50.7%
	No	49.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	60.9%
	12 (either side)	69.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	69.6%
Handicap -1	Atromitos win	24.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.7%
	Loss	53.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.6%
	0-1	10.9%
	0-0	9.4%

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos stats

Iraklis 1908 and Atromitos recent form

newest first

Iraklis 1908	LDLLLW
Atromitos	DWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Iraklis 1908 vs Atromitos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 30.3%, away 37.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.70	3.10	2.54
1xBet	2.89	2.97	2.57
888Sport	2.90	2.90	2.50
Bet365	2.80	3.25	2.55
BetVictor	2.80	3.13	2.50
Betano	2.90	3.20	2.55
Betfair	2.80	3.10	2.50
Dafabet	2.90	3.20	2.55
Marathonbet	2.89	2.97	2.57
Pinnacle	2.99	3.00	2.70
SBO	2.67	2.96	2.39
Superbet	2.87	3.15	2.52
Unibet	2.90	3.20	2.43
William Hill	2.90	2.90	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▲ +0.27

X 3.00 ▼ -0.18

2 2.55 ▼ -0.10

16 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T08:10:01Z.