Iraklis 1908
vs
Asteras Tripolis
0 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | Edgar Yoel Bárcenas | ||
| 45′ | Kalvin KetuAntonis Papakanellos | ||
| 45′ | Ricardo Viana FilhoFederico Macheda | ||
| 45′ | Edgar Yoel BárcenasIvi López | ||
| 51′ | Jordan Silva | ||
| 58′ | Elvir KoljićPedro Marques | ||
| 59′ | Kylian KaiboueNemanja Radoja | ||
| 59′ | Franco OrozcoBenjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | ||
| 61′ | Giannis Bouzoukis | ||
| 62′ | Alejandro·Mendez Garcia | ||
| 62′ | Yohan Roche | ||
| 68′ | Ivi López | ||
| 69′ | Giannis BouzoukisNikos Kaltsas | ||
| 73′ | Ivi López | ||
| 77′ | Mike·van BeijnenMarco Krainz | ||
| 78′ | Eder GonzálezAdrián Riera | ||
| 79′ | Franz Brorsson | ||
| 89′ | Rob NizetNikos Anastasiadis |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 197 | Accurate passes | 405 |
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis
| Probability | Iraklis 1908 | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 31.7% | 27.9% |
| Market | 49.4% | 28.3% | 22.3% |
| Final | 47.2% | 29.1% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -9.1% | +3.4% | +5.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Iraklis 1908 and Asteras Tripolis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Iraklis 1908 and Asteras Tripolis attack and defence ratings
Iraklis 1908
Asteras Tripolis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis: result vs prediction
Iraklis 1908 0 – 2 Asteras Tripolis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 47.2% | 2.12 | -9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 47.2% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Asteras Tripolis | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Iraklis 1908 win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 12.4% |
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis stats
Iraklis 1908 and Asteras Tripolis recent form
| Iraklis 1908 |
DLLLWD |
| Asteras Tripolis |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Iraklis 1908 vs Asteras Tripolis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 27.6%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.96 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.32 | 4.23 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.32 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.53 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 2.97 | 3.21 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .