Asteras Tripolis
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Panagiotis Retsos | ||
| 31′ | Jota Silva | ||
| 39′ | Kalvin Ketu | ||
| 41′ | Dimitris Kourbelis | ||
| 45′ | Franco Orozco | ||
| 46′ | J. BartoloB. Perez | ||
| 58′ | Santiago Hezze | ||
| 60′ | F. OrozcoB. Kimpioka | ||
| 64′ | M. SaliakasZ. Smajlovic | ||
| 69′ | Jota SilvaG. Martins | ||
| 69′ | J. RocaA. Gonzalez | ||
| 75′ | RicardinhoF. Macheda | ||
| 75′ | K. KetuN. Kaltsas | ||
| 75′ | L. ScipioniG. Sa | ||
| 75′ | A. El KaabiR. Freuler | ||
| 82′ | G. KotsirasA. Papakanellos | ||
| 87′ | Remo Freuler | ||
| 90′ | Nair Tiknizyan |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 296 | Accurate passes | 278 |
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
| Probability | Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 36.4% | 32.9% |
| Market | 10.1% | 19.8% | 70.2% |
| Final | 15.2% | 23.9% | 60.9% |
| Edge | +20.6% | +16.7% | -37.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.72
Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result vs prediction
Asteras Tripolis 0 – 1 Olympiakos Piraeus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 60.9% | 1.64 | -37.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis | 15.2% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 60.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.6% |
| No | 65.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 67.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats
Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form
| Asteras Tripolis |
LLWDWD |
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Asteras Tripolis | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-24 | Asteras Tripolis | Olympiakos Piraeus | Greece Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 19.8%, away 70.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 9.25 | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| 1xBet | 9.30 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 9.00 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 9.40 | 4.90 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 9.40 | 4.80 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 9.43 | 4.96 | 1.32 |
| SBO | 7.53 | 4.16 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .