Garuda Lions
Today
Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 2

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

2 – 1 Full time

3′M. Garcia
12′Andreas Bouchalakis
19′Manu García
46′S. PalaciosG. Gianniotas
46′L. DickmannB. Gonzalez
46′A. BouchalakisZ. Karachalios
51′Benjamín Garré
58′T. KadewereR. Mir
58′M. GarciaC. Kouame
65′A. CantalapiedraI. Apostolakis
65′T. NussK. Kodro
68′C. Kouame
73′Noah Fadiga
77′Achilleas Poungouras
79′T. FountasI. Theodosoulakis
80′T. Dele-BashiruM. Hongla
81′Fredrik Jensen
90′Ricardo Velho
90′B. GarreJ. Petris
90′K. Kodro

Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, ThessalonikiReferee: Anastasios Papapetrou

Aris Thessalonikis 56%
Draw 24%
OFI 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 1
16 Fouls 23
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 8
323 Accurate passes 458

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAris ThessalonikisDrawOFI
Model55.6%23.7%20.7%
Market56.6%24.4%19.0%
Final56.3%24.3%19.4%
Edge-1.0%-0.8%+1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Aris Thessalonikis

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.18.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aris Thessalon ↓ / OFI → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Aris Thessalonikis and OFI expected goals

Aris Thessalonikis 1.77
OFI 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.96

Aris Thessalonikis and OFI attack and defence ratings

Aris Thessalonikis

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.78 -22%

OFI

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI: result vs prediction

Aris Thessalonikis 2 – 1 OFI

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aris Thessalonikis 56.3% 1.77 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.6% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aris Thessalonikis56.3%
Draw24.3%
OFI19.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.6%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)43.7%
Handicap -1Aris Thessalonikis win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.9%
2-08.6%

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI stats

Aris Thessalonikis and OFI recent form

newest first
Aris Thessalonikis WWWWWW
OFI WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Aris Thessalonikis wins 0Draws 2OFI wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Aris ThessalonikisOFISuper League 13-1
2026-05-03OFIAris ThessalonikisSuper League 10-2
2026-03-22Aris ThessalonikisOFISuper League 10-2
2025-10-04OFIAris ThessalonikisSuper League 13-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 24.4%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.64 3.60 4.90
1xBet 1.66 3.84 4.89
Bet365 1.62 3.70 5.25
Betano 1.67 3.80 5.20
Betfair 1.62 3.90 5.00
Dafabet 1.66 3.85 5.40
Marathonbet 1.64 3.84 4.95
Pinnacle 1.68 3.84 4.90
SBO 1.55 3.48 4.72
William Hill 1.67 3.60 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.15
X 3.82 ▲ +0.32
2 4.93 ▲ +0.43

13 snapshots recorded, from .