Panetolikos
vs
Kalamata
2 – 0 Full time
Panetolikos vs Kalamata overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panetolikos vs Kalamata
| Probability | Panetolikos | Draw | Kalamata |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 27.4% | 48.0% |
| Market | 44.1% | 28.5% | 27.5% |
| Final | 39.2% | 28.2% | 32.6% |
| Edge | -19.5% | -1.0% | +20.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panetolikos and Kalamata expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Panetolikos and Kalamata attack and defence ratings
Panetolikos
Kalamata
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panetolikos vs Kalamata: result vs prediction
Panetolikos 2 – 0 Kalamata
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panetolikos vs Kalamata markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 39.2% | 2.55 | -19.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 39.2% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Kalamata | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panetolikos win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 75.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Panetolikos vs Kalamata stats
Panetolikos and Kalamata recent form
| Panetolikos |
WLLDDW |
| Kalamata |
LWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panetolikos vs Kalamata head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Kalamata | Panetolikos | Greece Cup | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panetolikos vs Kalamata odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 28.6%, away 27.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.28 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.28 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .