Panetolikos
vs
Asteras Tripolis
3 – 1 Full time
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
| Probability | Panetolikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 31.5% | 35.7% |
| Market | 32.5% | 31.3% | 36.3% |
| Final | 32.6% | 31.3% | 36.1% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
Why Asteras Tripolis
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis attack and defence ratings
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis: result vs prediction
Panetolikos 3 – 1 Asteras Tripolis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis | 36.1% | 2.77 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 32.6% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Asteras Tripolis | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-1 | 10.9% |
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis stats
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis recent form
| Panetolikos |
LLDDWL |
| Asteras Tripolis |
LWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Panetolikos | Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 31.2%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.66 | 2.98 | 2.66 |
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 2.95 | 2.57 |
| 888Sport | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.05 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.05 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 2.95 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03 | 3.08 | 2.61 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 2.89 | 2.48 |
| Superbet | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .