Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 1

PAOK vs Levadiakos

4 – 0 Full time

Toumba Stadium, ThessalonikiReferee: Angelos Evangelou

PAOK 63%
Draw 21%
Levadiakos 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

PAOK vs Levadiakos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: PAOK vs Levadiakos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPAOKDrawLevadiakos
Model48.2%24.6%27.2%
Market67.8%19.9%12.3%
Final62.9%21.1%16.0%
Edge-19.7%+4.8%+14.9%

Confidence: Low

Why PAOK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.36.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

PAOK ↓ / Levadiakos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

PAOK and Levadiakos expected goals

PAOK 1.86
Levadiakos 1.36

Total expected goals: 3.22

PAOK and Levadiakos attack and defence ratings

PAOK

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Levadiakos

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

PAOK vs Levadiakos: result vs prediction

PAOK 4 – 0 Levadiakos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

PAOK vs Levadiakos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 PAOK 62.9% 1.59 -19.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.0% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2PAOK62.9%
Draw21.1%
Levadiakos16.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.0%
12 (either side)78.9%
X2 (draw or away)37.1%
Handicap -1PAOK win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%

PAOK vs Levadiakos stats

PAOK and Levadiakos recent form

newest first
PAOK DLLWWD
Levadiakos WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

PAOK vs Levadiakos head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2PAOK wins 0Draws 1Levadiakos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15PAOKLevadiakosSuper League 13-0
2025-11-30LevadiakosPAOKSuper League 12-3
2025-09-17LevadiakosPAOKGreece Cup4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

PAOK vs Levadiakos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.8%, draw 20.0%, away 12.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.35 4.45 8.30
1xBet 1.38 4.75 7.55
888Sport 1.36 4.50 7.50
Bet365 1.38 4.50 8.50
BetVictor 1.36 4.75 7.50
Betano 1.40 4.55 8.50
Betfair 1.33 4.60 8.00
Dafabet 1.39 4.80 8.20
Marathonbet 1.36 4.85 7.60
Pinnacle 1.40 4.94 7.75
SBO 1.34 4.30 6.76
Superbet 1.39 4.75 7.50
Unibet 1.33 4.60 7.50
William Hill 1.36 4.50 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 —
X 4.67 ▼ -0.10
2 7.57 ▲ +0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .