Brann
vs
PAOK
3 – 2 Full time
Brann vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brann vs PAOK
| Probability | Brann | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.6% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| Market | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.8% |
| Final | 42.3% | 25.6% | 32.0% |
| Edge | +20.4% | -5.4% | -15.0% |
Why Brann
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Brann below the model: +20.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brann and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.55
Brann and PAOK attack and defence ratings
Brann
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brann vs PAOK: result vs prediction
Brann 3 – 2 PAOK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Brann vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 42.3% | 2.36 | +20.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 42.3% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| PAOK | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brann win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Brann vs PAOK stats
Brann and PAOK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brann and PAOK going into this match
Brann record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brann vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | PAOK | Brann | UEFA Europa Conference League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-27 | PAOK | Brann | UEFA Europa League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brann vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 27.0%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.56 | 3.45 | 2.56 |
| 1xBet | 2.64 | 3.52 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.46 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.06 | 2.36 |
| Superbet | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.72 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .