Atromitos
vs
PAOK
1 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | C. Nunez | ||
| 37′ | Dimitrios Tsakmakis | ||
| 43′ | D. Pelkas | ||
| 46′ | D. TsakmakisP. Tsantilas | ||
| 46′ | P. HatzidiakosG. Michailidis | ||
| 51′ | Greg Taylor | ||
| 59′ | G. TaylorB. Santamaria | ||
| 64′ | D. Pelkas | ||
| 66′ | T. AliD. Chatsidis | ||
| 72′ | S. TsiloulisE. Hoxha | ||
| 73′ | S. ZuberA. Kotsis | ||
| 73′ | S. PnevmonidisG. Tzovaras | ||
| 81′ | A. ZivkovicK. Thymianis | ||
| 81′ | C. NdiayeA. Mythou | ||
| 85′ | C. NunezH. Magnusson |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 255 | Accurate passes | 311 |
Atromitos vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atromitos vs PAOK
| Probability | Atromitos | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.0% | 22.8% | 23.2% |
| Market | 18.6% | 24.1% | 57.3% |
| Final | 27.5% | 23.8% | 48.8% |
| Edge | +35.4% | -1.3% | -34.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atromitos and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Atromitos and PAOK attack and defence ratings
Atromitos
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atromitos vs PAOK: result vs prediction
Atromitos 1 – 2 PAOK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atromitos vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAOK | 48.8% | 2.05 | -34.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atromitos | 27.5% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| PAOK | 48.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% |
| No | 34.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | PAOK win | 8.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.0% | |
| Loss | 80.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.1% |
Atromitos vs PAOK stats
Atromitos vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | PAOK | Atromitos | Greece Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-22 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2022-12-28 | Atromitos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | PAOK | Atromitos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atromitos vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.6%, draw 24.1%, away 57.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.40 | 3.65 | 1.59 |
| 1xBet | 4.84 | 3.88 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 3.85 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 3.95 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 3.88 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.95 | 3.88 | 1.66 |
| SBO | 4.72 | 3.55 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .