Greece Cup · Full time ·Greek Cup - 1

Panserraikos vs Atromitos

0 – 1 Full time

36′H. Magnusson
43′T. Vernardos
45′V. Sakalidis
45′P. Tsantilas
46′A. MaskanakisA. Adam
46′G. PasasAlex Teixeira
61′T. Iliadis
61′H. MagnussonD. Tsakmakis
61′P. TsantilasS. Tsiloulis
66′V. Rumyantsev
69′S. PnevmonidisK. Batos
71′V. RumyantsevA. Ikonomou
71′T. VernardosI. Moysidis
77′D. Tsakmakis
80′S. Tsiloulis
84′I. TseliosY. Armougom
84′C. NunezA. Karamanis
84′A. KotsisS. Abartzidis
90′S. Tsiloulis

Dimotiko Stadio Serron, SerresReferee: S. Tsimenteridis

Panserraikos 23%
Draw 26%
Atromitos 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Panserraikos vs Atromitos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Panserraikos vs Atromitos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPanserraikosDrawAtromitos
Model19.3%24.1%56.6%
Market24.7%27.3%48.1%
Final23.3%26.5%50.2%
Edge-5.4%-3.2%+8.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Atromitos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atromitos below the model: +8.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Panserraikos ↓ / Atromitos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Panserraikos and Atromitos expected goals

Panserraikos 1.05
Atromitos 1.92

Total expected goals: 2.97

Panserraikos and Atromitos attack and defence ratings

Panserraikos

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Atromitos

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Panserraikos vs Atromitos: result vs prediction

Panserraikos 0 – 1 Atromitos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Greek Cup - 1 fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Panserraikos vs Atromitos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atromitos 50.2% 1.99 +8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.3% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Panserraikos23.3%
Draw26.5%
Atromitos50.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.1%
Under 2.542.9%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.8%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)76.7%
Handicap -1Atromitos win33.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss43.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-29.9%
0-29.4%

Panserraikos vs Atromitos stats

Panserraikos and Atromitos recent form

newest first
Panserraikos WLDLLD
Atromitos LLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Panserraikos vs Atromitos head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

0Panserraikos wins 5Draws 4Atromitos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-21AtromitosPanserraikosSuper League 16-0
2026-04-22PanserraikosAtromitosSuper League 10-4
2026-02-16AtromitosPanserraikosSuper League 12-2
2025-09-20PanserraikosAtromitosSuper League 11-1
2025-02-22AtromitosPanserraikosSuper League 11-0
2024-11-09PanserraikosAtromitosSuper League 12-3
2024-04-06AtromitosPanserraikosSuper League 11-1
2024-02-24PanserraikosAtromitosSuper League 10-0
2023-11-11AtromitosPanserraikosSuper League 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Panserraikos vs Atromitos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.7%, draw 27.3%, away 48.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.95 3.35 1.86
1xBet 3.72 3.35 1.87
Bet365 3.80 3.60 1.90
BetVictor 4.00 3.40 1.87
Betano 3.85 3.55 1.90
Betfair 3.60 3.25 1.91
Dafabet 3.85 3.40 2.02
Marathonbet 3.65 3.35 1.85
Pinnacle 3.65 3.42 1.83
SBO 3.38 2.99 1.93
Superbet 3.70 3.35 2.00
Unibet 3.15 3.25 2.02
William Hill 3.60 3.10 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 ▲ +0.60
X 3.35 ▲ +0.25
2 1.90 ▼ -0.40

3 snapshots recorded, from .