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Greece Cup · Full time ·Greek Cup - 1

Marko vs Kifisia

2 – 2 Full time

15′Seba
19′D. Theodoridis
21′C. Ligdas
46′K. PolykratisN. Kaloskamis
52′C. Ligdas
60′G. BushajP. Kyriakidis
60′N. MilojevicF. Dettler
62′I. JagneK. Roukounakis
68′A. Fation
70′J. MboulaJ. Pombo
71′BernardoJ. Antonisse
76′J. Antonisse
77′I. MullerL. Necul
85′T. Johnson EbohG. Doiranlis
87′J. MendozaOiko
87′K. TsaknisV. Alexopoulos
90′V. Alexopoulos

Markopoulo Municipal StadiumReferee: V. Fitsas

Marko 28%
Draw 31%
Kifisia 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Marko vs Kifisia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Marko vs Kifisia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMarkoDrawKifisia
Model34.3%34.5%31.1%
Market26.3%29.7%43.9%
Final28.3%30.9%40.7%
Edge+8.0%+4.8%-12.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Kifisia

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Marko ↓ / Kifisia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Marko and Kifisia expected goals

Marko 0.97
Kifisia 0.93

Total expected goals: 1.90

Marko and Kifisia attack and defence ratings

Marko

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Kifisia

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Marko vs Kifisia: result vs prediction

Marko 2 – 2 Kifisia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Greek Cup - 1 fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Marko vs Kifisia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kifisia 40.7% 2.46 -12.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Marko28.3%
Draw30.9%
Kifisia40.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.6%
Under 2.570.4%
Both teams to scoreYes38.9%
No61.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.3%
12 (either side)69.1%
X2 (draw or away)71.7%
Handicap -1Kifisia win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.3%
1-114.8%
1-013.3%

Marko vs Kifisia stats

Marko and Kifisia recent form

newest first
Marko DDWWLD
Kifisia DWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Marko vs Kifisia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Marko vs Kifisia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 29.7%, away 43.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.40 3.10 2.12
1xBet 3.58 2.99 2.05
Bet365 3.50 3.30 2.10
BetVictor 3.50 3.13 2.10
Betano 3.40 3.20 2.15
Betfair 3.30 3.00 2.10
Dafabet 3.50 3.20 2.21
Marathonbet 3.50 2.99 2.03
Pinnacle 3.56 2.99 2.04
Superbet 3.40 3.10 2.20
William Hill 3.50 2.90 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.25
X 3.10 ▲ +0.08
2 2.10 ▼ -0.09

6 snapshots recorded, from .