Greece Cup · Full time ·Qualifying Round

Ellas Syros vs Marko

1 – 1 Full time

Ellas Syros 22%
Draw 28%
Marko 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ellas Syros vs Marko overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ellas Syros vs Marko

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEllas SyrosDrawMarko
Model43.3%37.2%19.4%
Market14.4%24.8%60.7%
Final21.7%27.9%50.4%
Edge+28.9%+12.4%-41.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ellas Syros ↓ / Marko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 1 20% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 47%
3+ goals 20%
No goals 22%

Ellas Syros and Marko expected goals

Ellas Syros 0.98
Marko 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.55

Ellas Syros and Marko attack and defence ratings

Ellas Syros

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Marko

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ellas Syros vs Marko: result vs prediction

Ellas Syros 1 – 1 Marko

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Qualifying Round fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Ellas Syros vs Marko markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Marko 50.4% 1.98 -41.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.7% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score No 71.8% 1.39 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.6% 1.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ellas Syros21.7%
Draw27.9%
Marko50.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.3%
Under 2.579.7%
Both teams to scoreYes28.2%
No71.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.6%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)78.3%
Handicap -1Marko win4.9%
Push (exactly one goal)14.5%
Loss80.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.5%
1-019.7%
1-113.0%

Ellas Syros vs Marko stats

Ellas Syros and Marko recent form

newest first
Ellas Syros WDWLWW
Marko DWWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ellas Syros vs Marko head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Ellas Syros wins 1Draws 2Marko wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13Ellas SyrosMarkoSuper League 20-2
2025-10-11MarkoEllas SyrosSuper League 21-1
2024-02-04Ellas SyrosMarkoGamma Ethniki - Group 32-0
2023-10-01MarkoEllas SyrosGamma Ethniki - Group 31-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ellas Syros vs Marko odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.6%, draw 24.9%, away 60.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.25 3.50 1.48
1xBet 6.69 3.62 1.48
Betano 6.20 3.65 1.50
Betfair 2.80 3.00 2.38
Dafabet 5.60 3.90 1.63
Marathonbet 6.35 3.64 1.47
Superbet 6.00 3.80 1.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.28 ▲ +2.96
X 3.65 ▲ +0.44
2 1.49 ▼ -0.65

6 snapshots recorded, from .