Greece Cup · Full time ·Greek Cup - 1

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC

0 – 2 Full time

10′Zini
57′C. AlexiouS. Christakopoulos
60′A. TrimmatisD. Stoiljkovic
62′C. LykogiannisS. Pilio
62′K. KairinenL. Majer
66′F. PantekidisM. Cantave
66′R. KasemiA. Sapountzis
67′K. BaltasD. Tutonda
75′P. GiakoumakisA. Stavropoulos
83′M. Georgiev
84′M. GacinovicO. Zubkov
84′D. KaloskamisA. Argyriou
90′M. Cantave

Municipal Stadium of ChrysoupoliReferee: K. Eleftherios

Nestos Chrisoupolis 13%
Draw 17%
AEK Athens FC 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNestos ChrisoupolisDrawAEK Athens FC
Model34.9%34.5%30.6%
Market5.1%11.8%83.1%
Final12.6%17.5%69.9%
Edge+29.8%+22.7%-52.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nestos Chrisou ↓ / AEK Athens FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC expected goals

Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.99
AEK Athens FC 0.91

Total expected goals: 1.90

Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC attack and defence ratings

Nestos Chrisoupolis

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.61 -39%

AEK Athens FC

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC: result vs prediction

Nestos Chrisoupolis 0 – 2 AEK Athens FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Greek Cup - 1 fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AEK Athens FC 69.9% 1.43 -52.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.4% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nestos Chrisoupolis12.6%
Draw17.5%
AEK Athens FC69.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.6%
Under 2.570.4%
Both teams to scoreYes38.9%
No61.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.1%
12 (either side)82.5%
X2 (draw or away)87.4%
Handicap -1AEK Athens FC win11.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss69.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.3%
1-114.8%
1-013.5%

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC stats

Nestos Chrisoupolis and AEK Athens FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 5.1%, draw 11.8%, away 83.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 23.00 6.80 1.11
1xBet 18.00 8.50 1.06
Bet365 15.00 8.50 1.12
BetVictor 22.00 8.00 1.10
Betano 19.00 7.20 1.14
Betfair 21.00 7.50 1.08
Dafabet 17.00 8.20 1.15
Marathonbet 18.00 8.50 1.06
Pinnacle 16.98 8.83 1.07
SBO 11.56 6.18 1.12
Superbet 13.00 7.60 1.15
William Hill 19.00 7.50 1.11

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 18.00 ▼ -14.50
X 7.80 ▼ -0.58
2 1.11 ▲ +0.05

6 snapshots recorded, from .