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Greece Cup · Full time ·Greek Cup - 1

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus

0 – 4 Full time

14′M. Bousis
21′A. Koutsogoulas
34′A. Gonzalez
49′G. Sa
54′B. Onyemaechi
61′M. BousisK. Grozos
61′K. PapageorgiouD. Silva
61′N. NitsosA. Kampetsis
63′B. OnyemaechiN. Tiknizyan
63′G. MartinsJ. Roca
66′J. Roca
75′E. SakicG. Agapakis
76′T. Tselepidis
77′C. AlbanisA. Makris
81′G. SaM. Pedersen
81′A. KoutsogoulasT. Bakoulas
81′A. GonzalezJota Silva

AEL FC Arena, LarissaReferee: A. Katsikogiannis

Larisa 17%
Draw 22%
Olympiakos Piraeus 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLarisaDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Model37.7%34.2%28.1%
Market10.0%17.7%72.3%
Final17.0%21.8%61.2%
Edge+27.7%+16.4%-44.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Larisa ↓ / Olympiakos Pir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals

Larisa 1.04
Olympiakos Piraeus 0.87

Total expected goals: 1.91

Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings

Larisa

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.58 -42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result vs prediction

Larisa 0 – 4 Olympiakos Piraeus

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Greek Cup - 1 fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus 61.2% 1.63 -44.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.9% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.0% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.8% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Larisa17.0%
Draw21.8%
Olympiakos Piraeus61.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.1%
Under 2.569.9%
Both teams to scoreYes39.0%
No61.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.8%
12 (either side)78.2%
X2 (draw or away)83.0%
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus win10.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss71.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.1%
1-114.7%
1-014.1%

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats

Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form

newest first
Larisa WWLWDD
Olympiakos Piraeus WWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Larisa wins 1Draws 9Olympiakos Piraeus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Olympiakos PiraeusLarisaSuper League 10-0
2025-10-18LarisaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-2
2021-03-14LarisaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 11-3
2020-12-20Olympiakos PiraeusLarisaSuper League 15-1
2019-12-18Olympiakos PiraeusLarisaSuper League 14-1
2019-09-01LarisaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-1
2019-05-05LarisaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-3
2019-01-30Olympiakos PiraeusLarisaSuper League 14-0
2018-01-07LarisaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-3
2017-08-19Olympiakos PiraeusLarisaSuper League 14-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.0%, draw 17.7%, away 72.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 9.20 4.85 1.29
1xBet 11.80 5.55 1.20
Bet365 9.00 6.50 1.20
BetVictor 11.00 5.75 1.22
Betano 7.60 5.00 1.35
Betfair 8.50 5.00 1.25
Dafabet 8.20 5.40 1.34
Marathonbet 8.00 4.85 1.28
Pinnacle 7.05 4.73 1.28
SBO 9.64 5.51 1.17
Superbet 7.20 5.10 1.35
Unibet 11.50 6.25 1.16
William Hill 11.00 5.00 1.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.00 ▼ -10.00
X 5.10 ▼ -1.20
2 1.25 ▲ +0.11

7 snapshots recorded, from .