Atromitos
vs
Kalamata
1 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Samuel Moutoussamy | ||
| 38′ | Stefanos Stroungis | ||
| 45′ | J. Cataldi | ||
| 45′ | Julián BonettoMarcelino Carreazo | ||
| 52′ | Dimitrios Stavropoulos | ||
| 59′ | Cristopher NunezS. Pnevmonidis | ||
| 60′ | Georgios TzovarasPanagiotis Tsantilas | ||
| 61′ | Jovanny Bolivar | ||
| 63′ | S. Pnevmonidis | ||
| 64′ | Lefteris Lyratzis | ||
| 69′ | Sotiris TsiloulisSerginho | ||
| 69′ | Athanasios KaramanisTheocharis Tsingaras | ||
| 73′ | J. Cataldi | ||
| 79′ | Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroM. Bakayoko | ||
| 80′ | Erik HamzaUros Ignjatovic | ||
| 90′ | Jovanny BolivarDjibril Diarra | ||
| 90′ | Djibril Diarra |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 371 | Accurate passes | 274 |
Atromitos vs Kalamata overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atromitos vs Kalamata
| Probability | Atromitos | Draw | Kalamata |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 26.0% | 24.3% |
| Market | 51.2% | 26.2% | 22.7% |
| Final | 50.8% | 26.1% | 23.1% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -0.2% | +1.7% |
Why Atromitos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atromitos and Kalamata expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Atromitos and Kalamata attack and defence ratings
Atromitos
Kalamata
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atromitos vs Kalamata: result vs prediction
Atromitos 1 – 1 Kalamata
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atromitos vs Kalamata markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atromitos | 50.8% | 1.97 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atromitos | 50.8% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Kalamata | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atromitos win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Atromitos vs Kalamata stats
Atromitos vs Kalamata head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Atromitos vs Kalamata odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 26.0%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.62 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.62 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.81 | 4.18 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .