Panathinaikos
vs
PAOK
3 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Aritz Elustondo | ||
| 18′ | Dimitrios PelkasDimitris Bataoulas | ||
| 29′ | Vicente Taborda | ||
| 38′ | Andrews Tetteh | ||
| 45′ | Dimitris Bataoulas | ||
| 45′ | Andrija ŽivkovićDimitrios Chatsidis | ||
| 48′ | Giorgos Kyriakopoulos | ||
| 52′ | Andrews Tetteh | ||
| 54′ | Andrews Tetteh | ||
| 58′ | Baptiste SantamariaMady Camara | ||
| 61′ | Vicente TabordaCyriel Dessers | ||
| 62′ | Kings KangwaImrân Louza | ||
| 67′ | Andrews TettehAzzedine Ounahi | ||
| 69′ | Cyriel Dessers | ||
| 75′ | Taha AliTaison Barcellos Freda | ||
| 75′ | Christos ZafeirisOgnjen ugresic | ||
| 88′ | Etiene Camara | ||
| 90′ | Levi GarcíaElmin Rastoder | ||
| 90′ | Etiene CamaraPanagiotis Biniaris | ||
| 90′ | Ognjen ugresic |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 71 | Possession % | 29 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 550 | Accurate passes | 181 |
Panathinaikos vs PAOK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panathinaikos vs PAOK
| Probability | Panathinaikos | Draw | PAOK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 27.3% | 25.7% |
| Market | 46.4% | 27.5% | 26.1% |
| Final | 46.6% | 27.4% | 26.0% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panathinaikos and PAOK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Panathinaikos and PAOK attack and defence ratings
Panathinaikos
PAOK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panathinaikos vs PAOK: result vs prediction
Panathinaikos 3 – 1 PAOK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panathinaikos vs PAOK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 46.6% | 2.15 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 46.6% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| PAOK | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Panathinaikos vs PAOK stats
Panathinaikos and PAOK recent form
| Panathinaikos |
WWWDWD |
| PAOK |
DWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panathinaikos vs PAOK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-05 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-11 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Greece Cup | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Greece Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-01-05 | Panathinaikos | PAOK | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panathinaikos vs PAOK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 27.8%, away 26.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.35 | 3.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.44 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .