Super League 1 · Full time ·Matchday 1

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos

1 – 0 Full time

Karaiskakis Stadium, PiraeusReferee: Alexandros Tsakalidis

Olympiakos Piraeus 64%
Draw 20%
Atromitos 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOlympiakos PiraeusDrawAtromitos
Model27.9%28.3%43.8%
Market75.4%16.8%7.8%
Final63.5%19.7%16.8%
Edge-47.5%+11.5%+36.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Olympiakos Pir ↓ / Atromitos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos expected goals

Olympiakos Piraeus 1.00
Atromitos 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.34

Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos attack and defence ratings

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Atromitos

Attack 1.61 +61%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos: result vs prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus 1 – 0 Atromitos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus 63.5% 1.57 -47.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.2% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.3% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Olympiakos Piraeus63.5%
Draw19.7%
Atromitos16.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.2%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)36.5%
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus win10.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss73.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-19.6%
1-29.1%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos stats

Olympiakos Piraeus and Atromitos recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Olympiakos Piraeus wins 0Draws 0Atromitos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-10AtromitosOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 10-2
2025-11-22Olympiakos PiraeusAtromitosSuper League 13-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.3%, draw 17.0%, away 7.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.23 5.00 13.00
1xBet 1.24 5.65 12.00
888Sport 1.25 5.00 11.00
Bet365 1.25 5.50 13.00
BetVictor 1.22 5.50 13.00
Betano 1.27 5.60 12.00
Betfair 1.20 5.50 14.00
Dafabet 1.26 5.80 12.00
Marathonbet 1.23 5.65 12.25
Pinnacle 1.24 6.01 12.63
SBO 1.24 4.94 8.87
Superbet 1.25 5.70 11.00
Unibet 1.24 5.20 10.50
William Hill 1.25 5.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.24 ▼ -0.01
X 5.55 ▲ +0.05
2 12.00 ▲ +0.38

2 snapshots recorded, from .