AEK Athens FC
vs
Iraklis 1908
4 – 0 Full time
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908
| Probability | AEK Athens FC | Draw | Iraklis 1908 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 32.6% | 23.6% |
| Market | 79.1% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Final | 70.3% | 18.9% | 10.8% |
| Edge | -35.3% | +18.2% | +17.1% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.81.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908 attack and defence ratings
AEK Athens FC
Iraklis 1908
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908: result vs prediction
AEK Athens FC 4 – 0 Iraklis 1908
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 70.3% | 1.42 | -35.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 70.3% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Iraklis 1908 | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 stats
AEK Athens FC and Iraklis 1908 recent form
| AEK Athens FC |
DDDWDW |
| Iraklis 1908 |
LLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.2%, draw 14.4%, away 6.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.16 | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 6.45 | 15.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.18 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.20 | 6.80 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 6.45 | 15.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 6.97 | 14.40 |
| SBO | 1.18 | 5.80 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.20 | 6.70 | 12.00 |
| Unibet | 1.17 | 6.25 | 12.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .