Panathinaikos
vs
Panetolikos
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Vicente Taborda | ||
| 19′ | Nikola Stajic | ||
| 20′ | Vicente TabordaLevi García | ||
| 30′ | Giannis SatsiasDiego Esteban | ||
| 33′ | Etiene Camara | ||
| 39′ | Azzedine Ounahi | ||
| 45′ | Kosta AleksicMarvelous Nakamba | ||
| 57′ | Mateo MejiaYoussouph Badji | ||
| 57′ | Novica ErakovićKwadwo Opoku | ||
| 61′ | Azzedine OunahiAndrews Tetteh | ||
| 61′ | Imrân LouzaKings Kangwa | ||
| 63′ | Charis MavriasAthanasios Prodromitis | ||
| 67′ | Gustav Granath | ||
| 76′ | Cyriel DessersTriantafyllos Tsapras | ||
| 76′ | Santino AndinoFacundo Pellistri | ||
| 90′ | Davide Calabria |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
| Probability | Panathinaikos | Draw | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.5% | 25.5% | 22.0% |
| Market | 76.1% | 15.9% | 8.0% |
| Final | 70.2% | 18.3% | 11.5% |
| Edge | -23.6% | +9.7% | +14.0% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panathinaikos and Panetolikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Panathinaikos and Panetolikos attack and defence ratings
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos: result vs prediction
Panathinaikos 3 – 0 Panetolikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 70.2% | 1.42 | -23.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 70.2% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Panetolikos | 11.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.1% |
| No | 43.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos stats
Panathinaikos and Panetolikos recent form
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWD |
| Panetolikos |
WWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-01 | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-07 | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-5 |
| 2023-03-06 | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-09 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-28 | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.7%, draw 16.0%, away 8.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.29 | 4.60 | 10.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 5.90 | 11.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 5.90 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 5.20 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.90 | 12.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 6.12 | 11.99 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.24 | 7.34 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .