Aris Thessalonikis
vs
Marko
1 – 0 Full time
| 39′ | V. Alexopoulos | ||
| 46′ | S. PalaciosB. Garre | ||
| 46′ | R. MirM. Garcia | ||
| 46′ | FabianoB. Sutalo | ||
| 57′ | T. Dele-BashiruL. Moron | ||
| 59′ | L. NeculI. Muller | ||
| 59′ | A. JohanssonG. Bushaj | ||
| 63′ | P. Smalis | ||
| 67′ | OikoJ. Mendoza | ||
| 67′ | F. DettlerE. Becirovic | ||
| 75′ | N. MilojevicC. Pavlidis | ||
| 80′ | K. CharoupasS. Papasarafianos | ||
| 83′ | J. Petris | ||
| 90′ | I. Muller |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko
| Probability | Aris Thessalonikis | Draw | Marko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 31.2% | 32.0% |
| Market | 79.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Final | 69.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Edge | -42.9% | +17.9% | +25.0% |
Why Aris Thessalonikis
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aris Thessalonikis and Marko expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Aris Thessalonikis and Marko attack and defence ratings
Aris Thessalonikis
Marko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko: result vs prediction
Aris Thessalonikis 1 – 0 Marko
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Greek Cup - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 69.0% | 1.45 | -42.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 69.0% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| Marko | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko stats
Aris Thessalonikis and Marko recent form
| Aris Thessalonikis |
LDLWWW |
| Marko |
DDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Aris Thessalonikis | Marko | Greece Cup | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Marko odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.8%, draw 13.3%, away 6.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 6.65 | 13.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 6.90 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.12 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 6.65 | 13.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 6.78 | 11.95 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.28 | 10.60 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .