AEK Athens FC
vs
Panserraikos
8 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | C. Alexiou | ||
| 33′ | B. Varga | ||
| 35′ | Joao Mario | ||
| 38′ | B. Varga | ||
| 42′ | M. Aliatidis | ||
| 44′ | M. Vitalis | ||
| 45′ | P. Mantalos | ||
| 46′ | JorginhoI. Moysidis | ||
| 46′ | A. IkonomouM. Moreira | ||
| 47′ | Joao Mario | ||
| 52′ | A. Karasalidis | ||
| 59′ | B. VargaD. Kutesa | ||
| 59′ | P. MantalosZini | ||
| 62′ | V. RumyantsevT. Iliadis | ||
| 62′ | K. KotsopoulosG. Pasas | ||
| 70′ | Joao MarioD. Kaloskamis | ||
| 71′ | D. VidaS. Christakopoulos | ||
| 72′ | O. Zubkov | ||
| 74′ | A. MaskanakisG. Politakis | ||
| 78′ | M. VitalisA. Argyriou | ||
| 84′ | C. Alexiou | ||
| 89′ | C. Lykogiannis | ||
| 90′ | T. Iliadis |
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos
| Probability | AEK Athens FC | Draw | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.7% | 17.1% | 5.2% |
| Market | 84.0% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Final | 82.4% | 12.6% | 5.0% |
| Edge | -6.3% | +6.0% | +0.3% |
Why AEK Athens FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AEK Athens FC and Panserraikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
AEK Athens FC and Panserraikos attack and defence ratings
AEK Athens FC
Panserraikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos: result vs prediction
AEK Athens FC 8 – 1 Panserraikos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Greek Cup - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 82.4% | 1.21 | -6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 82.4% |
| Draw | 12.6% | |
| Panserraikos | 5.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win | 53.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 22.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 3-0 | 12.8% |
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos stats
AEK Athens FC and Panserraikos recent form
| AEK Athens FC |
DWWWDW |
| Panserraikos |
LWLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Panserraikos | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 0-4 |
| 2025-08-24 | AEK Athens FC | Panserraikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | AEK Athens FC | Panserraikos | Super League 1 | 5-0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Panserraikos | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-21 | Panserraikos | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | AEK Athens FC | Panserraikos | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-25 | Panserraikos | AEK Athens FC | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2023-01-18 | AEK Athens FC | Panserraikos | Cup | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AEK Athens FC vs Panserraikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 84.0%, draw 11.1%, away 4.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06 | 7.90 | 18.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 9.50 | 23.00 |
| Betano | 1.12 | 8.25 | 17.50 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 9.50 | 21.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 7.90 | 18.50 |
| SBO | 1.08 | 7.62 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.11 | 8.00 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .