OFI
vs
Nestos Chrisoupolis
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | M. CantaveA. Trimmatis | ||
| 24′ | F. Miyenga | ||
| 30′ | A. Sapountzis | ||
| 46′ | S. FrancoP. Giakoumakis | ||
| 46′ | F. MiyengaF. Pantekidis | ||
| 54′ | T. Nuss | ||
| 60′ | E. GionisA. Stavropoulos | ||
| 60′ | D. StoiljkovicD. Thomaidis | ||
| 62′ | B. Gonzalez | ||
| 63′ | Z. KarachaliosN. Athanasiou | ||
| 63′ | D. NikolaouP. Kenourgiakis | ||
| 65′ | I. Theodosoulakis | ||
| 69′ | B. GonzalezT. Romano | ||
| 69′ | A. CantalapiedraK. Kodro | ||
| 83′ | I. TheodosoulakisA. Sitmalidis |
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis
| Probability | OFI | Draw | Nestos Chrisoupolis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 32.6% | 27.3% |
| Market | 79.8% | 14.2% | 6.1% |
| Final | 69.8% | 18.8% | 11.4% |
| Edge | -39.6% | +18.5% | +21.2% |
Why OFI
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFI and Nestos Chrisoupolis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
OFI and Nestos Chrisoupolis attack and defence ratings
OFI
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis: result vs prediction
OFI 3 – 0 Nestos Chrisoupolis
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Greek Cup - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 69.8% | 1.43 | -39.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 69.8% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-0 | 13.4% |
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis stats
OFI and Nestos Chrisoupolis recent form
| OFI |
WDLWWW |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis |
LWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
OFI vs Nestos Chrisoupolis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.8%, draw 14.2%, away 6.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.14 | 6.20 | 18.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 6.35 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 6.60 | 13.50 |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.18 | 7.40 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 6.35 | 15.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 6.40 | 12.62 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 5.70 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.17 | 6.90 | 12.00 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .