Super League 1
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Aris Thessalonikis
vs
Volos NFC
3 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Christian Kouamé | ||
| 22′ | Stefanos Katsikas | ||
| 23′ | Fabiano Leismann | ||
| 43′ | Tino Kadewere | ||
| 45′ | Vasileios GrosdisRémy Cabella | ||
| 45′ | Lazaros LamprouFrancesc Regis | ||
| 57′ | Boško Šutalo | ||
| 58′ | Derek Agyakwa | ||
| 61′ | Dženis BurnićKeidi Bare | ||
| 67′ | Martin HonglaFredrik Jensen | ||
| 67′ | BrumaOthman Boussaid | ||
| 74′ | Tino Kadewere | ||
| 79′ | Giannis Kargas | ||
| 80′ | Tino KadewereRafa Mir | ||
| 80′ | Benjamin GarréNoah Fadiga | ||
| 84′ | Konstantinos LykourinosEleftherios Tasiouras | ||
| 84′ | Gustavo FurtadoGiorgos Charalampoglou | ||
| 86′ | Giannis Kargas | ||
| 90′ | Christian KouaméKonstantinos Galanopoulos |
Aris Thessalonikis
62%
Draw
22%
Volos NFC
16%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 370 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
| Probability | Aris Thessalonikis | Draw | Volos NFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 21.3% | 16.2% |
| Market | 61.8% | 22.7% | 15.5% |
| Final | 62.0% | 22.3% | 15.7% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
Why Aris Thessalonikis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC expected goals
Aris Thessalonikis
2.22
Volos NFC
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.27
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC attack and defence ratings
Aris Thessalonikis
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Volos NFC
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC: result vs prediction
Aris Thessalonikis 3 – 2 Volos NFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 62.0% | 1.61 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 62.0% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Volos NFC | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC stats
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC recent form
| Aris Thessalonikis |
DWLDLW |
| Volos NFC |
LLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC going into this match
Aris Thessalonikis record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Volos NFC record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Aris Thessalonikis wins
2Draws
1Volos NFC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2023-05-03 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 4-2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 22.7%, away 15.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.10 | 6.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.36 | 5.84 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 3.72 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.50 ▼ -0.22
X
4.10 ▲ +0.55
2
6.00 ▲ +1.38
45 snapshots recorded, from .