Aris Thessalonikis
vs
Volos NFC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aris Thessalonikis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
| Probability | Aris Thessalonikis | Draw | Volos NFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
| Market | 62.2% | 22.8% | 15.0% |
| Final | 62.2% | 22.4% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +0.0% | -1.3% | +1.3% |
Why Aris Thessalonikis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC match preview
Aris Thessalonikis enters the match against Volos NFC with a probability of 56% to win, while Volos has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Aris, with a 10% likelihood. Aris has shown a mixed recent form with a record of D-W-L-D-L-W, while Volos is struggling, having not won in their last six matches (L-L-L-D-D-D).
The expected goals for Aris are 2.20, compared to Volos's 1.06, indicating a significant attacking advantage for the home side. Additionally, there is a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score. In their last four encounters, Aris has dominated with three wins and one draw against Volos, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC attack and defence ratings
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 62.2% | 1.61 | +0.0% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 62.2% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Volos NFC | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 40.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC stats
Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC recent form
| Aris Thessalonikis |
DWLDLW |
| Volos NFC |
LLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Volos NFC | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Aris Thessalonikis | Volos NFC | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.2%, draw 22.8%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.90 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.18 | 5.84 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 3.84 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
42 snapshots recorded, from .