Kifisia
vs
Aris Thessalonikis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aris Thessalonikis
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis
| Probability | Kifisia | Draw | Aris Thessalonikis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 28.1% | 30.6% |
| Market | 31.1% | 28.6% | 40.3% |
| Final | 33.7% | 28.4% | 37.9% |
| Edge | +10.2% | -0.5% | -9.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis match preview
Kifisia faces Aris Thessalonikis in a Super League 1 clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Kifisia has a 34% chance of winning, while Aris Thessalonikis holds a slight edge at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 7% probability. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Kifisia recording two wins and four losses in their last six matches, and Aris Thessalonikis having two wins, two draws, and two losses.
In terms of expected goals, Kifisia is projected to score 1.47, while Aris Thessalonikis is expected to net 1.23. The model suggests a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood that both teams will score. Historically, Kifisia has yet to secure a win against Aris Thessalonikis, with one draw and one loss in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis attack and defence ratings
Kifisia
Aris Thessalonikis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 37.9% | 2.64 | -9.7% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kifisia | 33.7% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris Thessalonikis win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 69.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis stats
Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis recent form
| Kifisia |
WWLDLL |
| Aris Thessalonikis |
WDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kifisia and Aris Thessalonikis season so far
Kifisia record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Aris Thessalonikis record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Aris Thessalonikis | Kifisia | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Kifisia | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-27 | Kifisia | Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Aris Thessalonikis | Kifisia | Super League 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 28.6%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.26 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.98 | 3.26 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.44 | 2.31 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.02 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
54 snapshots recorded, from .