Panetolikos
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
| Probability | Panetolikos | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.1% | 29.9% | 51.0% |
| Market | 10.2% | 19.6% | 70.2% |
| Final | 12.4% | 22.2% | 65.4% |
| Edge | +8.9% | +10.3% | -19.2% |
Why Olympiakos Piraeus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus match preview
Panetolikos faces Olympiakos Piraeus in an upcoming Super League 1 match, with the probabilities indicating a strong advantage for the visitors. Olympiakos Piraeus has a 65% chance of winning, while Panetolikos sits at 13% and the draw at 22%. The expected goals for Panetolikos is 0.88, compared to Olympiakos Piraeus's 1.42, suggesting a potential struggle for the home side to find the net.
Recent form shows Panetolikos with three losses followed by two wins, while Olympiakos Piraeus has three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. In their last two encounters, Olympiakos Piraeus has won both, emphasizing their dominance in this matchup. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 65.4% | 1.53 | -19.2% | 1.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 12.4% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 65.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 49.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form
| Panetolikos |
LLLWWW |
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panetolikos and Olympiakos Piraeus season so far
Panetolikos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Panetolikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-06 | Panetolikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-28 | Panetolikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 3-1 |
| 2023-02-13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 6-1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Panetolikos | Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 | 0-2 |
| 2022-02-09 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Cup | 3-1 |
| 2022-02-02 | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.3%, draw 19.6%, away 70.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.25 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 5.20 | 1.34 |
| Marathonbet | 9.30 | 4.75 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 8.94 | 5.14 | 1.32 |
| SBO | 7.14 | 4.42 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
54 snapshots recorded, from .