Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
Sparta Praha
1 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | Jaroslav Zelený | ||
| 38′ | Roman Macek | ||
| 45′ | Hugo SochurekSivert Heggheim Mannsverk | ||
| 60′ | Matyáš VojtaJonatan Braut Brunes | ||
| 62′ | Roman YaremchukArmando González | ||
| 62′ | Santiago HezzeGustavo Puerta | ||
| 67′ | Matej JurasekEbrima Singhateh | ||
| 67′ | Roman MacekPatrik Vydra | ||
| 74′ | Manolis SaliakasMarcus Pedersen | ||
| 74′ | Bruno OnyemaechiNayair Tiknizyan | ||
| 77′ | Ebrima Singhateh | ||
| 78′ | Armando González | ||
| 79′ | Ki-Jana HoeverPavel Kadeřábek | ||
| 80′ | Martin Suchomel | ||
| 83′ | ChiquinhoGustavo Sá | ||
| 83′ | Jota Silva | ||
| 90′ | Gelson Martins |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 14 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 263 |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha
| Probability | Olympiakos Piraeus | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 32.8% | 20.8% |
| Market | 63.4% | 21.3% | 15.3% |
| Final | 59.1% | 24.2% | 16.7% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +2.9% | +1.4% |
Why Olympiakos Piraeus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sparta Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: result vs prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus 1 – 0 Sparta Praha
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
Before and after this match
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 59.1% | 1.69 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 59.1% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Sparta Praha | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-0 | 15.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha stats
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha recent form
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WWWWWL |
| Sparta Praha |
DDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.4%, draw 21.3%, away 15.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 4.51 | 6.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.45 | 6.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.53 | 6.42 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 3.76 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .