Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
Sparta Praha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha
| Probability | Olympiakos Piraeus | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 29.0% | 27.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 43.1% | 29.0% | 27.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Olympiakos Piraeus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 1.10.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus will face Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League, with kickoff scheduled for October 22, 2026. According to our model, Olympiakos Piraeus has a 43% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 29% and Sparta Praha at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals are 1.42 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.10 for Sparta Praha, indicating a competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Olympiakos Piraeus has recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Sparta Praha has seen three wins, two losses, and one win in their recent outings. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 46%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 52%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sparta Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 43.1% | 2.32 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 43.1% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Sparta Praha | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos Piraeus win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha stats
Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha recent form
| Olympiakos Piraeus |
WWLWDW |
| Sparta Praha |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.