Lech Poznan
vs
Sunderland
1 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Timur Tutierov | ||
| 41′ | Kevin Danso | ||
| 62′ | Daniel HåkansLuis Palma | ||
| 62′ | Pablo Rodriguez DelgadoLeo Bengtsson | ||
| 63′ | Nilson AnguloChris Rigg | ||
| 63′ | Habib DiarraEnzo Le Fée | ||
| 63′ | Granit XhakaNoah Sadiki | ||
| 63′ | Nordi MukieleTrai Hume | ||
| 70′ | Leo Bengtsson | ||
| 82′ | Patrick WalemarkGustav Berggren | ||
| 82′ | Radosław MurawskiY. Agnero | ||
| 85′ | Timur TutierovReinildo Isnard Mandava | ||
| 87′ | Mikael IshakFilip Jagiełło |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 25 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Saves | 5 |
| 311 | Accurate passes | 442 |
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
| Probability | Lech Poznan | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Market | 20.5% | 24.2% | 55.3% |
| Final | 34.1% | 21.6% | 44.3% |
| Edge | +13.6% | -2.6% | -11.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lech Poznan and Sunderland expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.66
Lech Poznan and Sunderland attack and defence ratings
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: result vs prediction
Lech Poznan 1 – 1 Sunderland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
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Before and after this match
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 44.3% | 2.26 | -11.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznan | 34.1% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Sunderland | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% |
| No | 28.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sunderland win | 4.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 6.8% | |
| Loss | 88.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.7% |
| 2-1 | 7.0% | |
| 4-1 | 6.4% |
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland stats
Lech Poznan and Sunderland recent form
| Lech Poznan |
WLWWLL |
| Sunderland |
LWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lech Poznan and Sunderland going into this match
Lech Poznan record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.5%, draw 24.2%, away 55.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.66 | 4.16 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| Pinnacle | 4.64 | 4.03 | 1.75 |
| SBO | 4.29 | 3.45 | 1.60 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .