Dinamo Zagreb
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 77.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dinamo Zagreb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen match preview
Dinamo Zagreb enters the match against NEC Nijmegen with a strong probability of winning at 77%. The expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb stand at 3.11, suggesting a potent attacking performance, while NEC Nijmegen is projected to score just 1.05 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-1, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form shows Dinamo Zagreb with mixed results, recording a win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, NEC Nijmegen has struggled, with only one win in their last five games, alongside three losses and a draw. With a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 63%, this match could see significant offensive action.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.16
Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 77.4% |
| Draw | 13.8% | |
| NEC Nijmegen | 8.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 59.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 22.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.2% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 3-0 | 7.8% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen stats
Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
WDLWDL |
| NEC Nijmegen |
DLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.