UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen

0 – 2 Full time

15′Carles Martínez Novell
25′Aleix García
35′Jonas Hofmann
38′Jonas Hofmann
61′Kenan KodroTaxiarchis Fountas
63′Facundo MedinaMiguel Gutiérrez
64′Jonas HofmannIbrahim Maza
64′Patrik SchickNathan Tella
72′Aitor CantalapiedraGiannis Theodosoulakis
72′Andreas BouchalakisGiannis Apostolakis
74′Lucas VázquezEdmond Tapsoba
74′Malik TillmanMoussa Diaby
79′Jarell Quansah
83′Konstantinos KostoulasBorja González
83′Thiago NussThanasis Sitmalidis
86′Equi Fernández
87′Borja González

Pankritio Stadium, HeraklionReferee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy

OFI 13%
Draw 16%
Bayer Leverkusen 71%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 33
2 Shots on target 15
37 Possession % 63
5 Corners 10
5 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 1
12 Saves 2
330 Accurate passes 626

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOFIDrawBayer Leverkusen
Model29.7%22.8%47.5%
Market7.5%13.1%79.3%
Final13.1%15.5%71.4%
Edge+5.6%+2.4%-8.0%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bayer Leverkusen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.63.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

OFI ↓ / Bayer Leverkus → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

OFI and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals

OFI 1.63
Bayer Leverkusen 2.07

Total expected goals: 3.70

OFI and Bayer Leverkusen attack and defence ratings

OFI

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Bayer Leverkusen

Attack 1.70 +70%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: result vs prediction

OFI 0 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bayer Leverkusen 71.4% 1.40 -8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.5% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.1% 1.41 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.9% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2OFI13.1%
Draw15.5%
Bayer Leverkusen71.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%
Both teams to scoreYes71.1%
No28.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)28.6%
12 (either side)84.5%
X2 (draw or away)86.9%
Handicap -1Bayer Leverkusen win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.2%
1-28.6%
2-27.0%

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen stats

OFI and Bayer Leverkusen recent form

newest first
OFI LLLDWW
Bayer Leverkusen WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.5%, draw 13.1%, away 79.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 13.70 7.30 1.22
Bet365 11.00 7.50 1.20
BetVictor 13.00 7.00 1.18
Betano 12.50 7.40 1.23
Betfair 13.00 7.00 1.20
Dafabet 12.00 7.40 1.21
Marathonbet 13.50 7.20 1.20
Pinnacle 12.82 7.56 1.21
SBO 7.91 5.61 1.19
William Hill 12.00 6.50 1.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 12.66 ▲ +4.06
X 7.25 ▲ +2.05
2 1.20 ▼ -0.15

14 snapshots recorded, from .