OFI
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
Garuda Lions Prediction: OFI
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen
| Probability | OFI | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.7% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why OFI
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.31.
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen match preview
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League match, OFI faces Bayer Leverkusen with a projected probability of 48% for OFI to win, 25% for a draw, and 27% for Bayer Leverkusen to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of OFI, with a 9% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 60%, while both teams scoring is forecasted at 62%.
Recent form shows OFI with a record of D-W-W-W-W-D, while Bayer Leverkusen has W-W-D-W-L-W. Expected goals for OFI are 1.80, compared to Bayer Leverkusen's 1.31. The confidence grade for this match is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OFI and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
OFI and Bayer Leverkusen attack and defence ratings
OFI
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Juventus v Rennes — match page
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 47.7% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen stats
OFI and Bayer Leverkusen recent form
| OFI |
DWWWWD |
| Bayer Leverkusen |
WWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.