Union St. Gilloise
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Union St. Gilloise
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Probability | Union St. Gilloise | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.7% | 15.5% | 8.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 75.7% | 15.5% | 8.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Union St. Gilloise
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match preview
Union St. Gilloise enters the match against Hapoel Beer Sheva with a strong probability of winning at 76%. Their recent form has been impressive, with six consecutive wins. The expected goals for Union St. Gilloise stands at 2.76, indicating a potent attacking threat. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 10% likelihood.
On the other hand, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown mixed results, with their recent form consisting of three wins, two draws, and one loss. Their expected goals are considerably lower at 0.89, suggesting challenges in finding the back of the net. Additionally, there is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring has a probability of 56%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings
Union St. Gilloise
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
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- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Union St. Gilloise win | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 75.7% |
| Draw | 15.5% | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 8.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Union St. Gilloise win | 55.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 24.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.9% |
| 3-0 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats
Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
| Union St. Gilloise |
WWWWWW |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.