UEFA Europa League
·
Full time
·League Stage - 3
Juventus
vs
Rennes
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Zeki Çelik | ||
| 15′ | Mousa Al-Tamari | ||
| 19′ | Federico Gatti | ||
| 43′ | Boulaye Dia | ||
| 45′ | Zeki ÇelikPierre Kalulu | ||
| 60′ | Federico GattiNicolás Iván Gonzalez | ||
| 67′ | Nick Woltemade | ||
| 80′ | Lloyd KellyJhon Lucumi | ||
| 80′ | Randal Kolo MuaniJérémie Boga | ||
| 81′ | Adrien ThomassonSebastian Szymański | ||
| 81′ | Boulaye DiaIssa Soumaré | ||
| 81′ | Mousa Al-TamariEliezer Mayenda | ||
| 82′ | Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal | ||
| 90′ | Andrea CambiasoKerim Alajbegovic |
Juventus
69%
Draw
19%
Rennes
12%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 442 | Accurate passes | 380 |
Juventus vs Rennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventus vs Rennes
| Probability | Juventus | Draw | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.7% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Market | 66.4% | 20.1% | 13.5% |
| Final | 68.7% | 18.9% | 12.3% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -1.2% | -1.1% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.91.
- The market prices Juventus below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Juventus and Rennes expected goals
Juventus
2.78
Rennes
0.91
Total expected goals: 3.70
Juventus and Rennes attack and defence ratings
Juventus
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Rennes
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventus vs Rennes: result vs prediction
Juventus 2 – 2 Rennes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — team news & stats
- Sturm Graz vs Marseille
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
Juventus vs Rennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 68.7% | 1.46 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 68.7% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Rennes | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 56.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 24.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.6% |
| 3-0 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Juventus vs Rennes stats
Juventus vs Rennes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Juventus vs Rennes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 20.1%, away 13.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.94 | 7.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 5.10 | 7.30 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 4.95 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.90 | 7.47 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.73 | 4.68 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.17
X
4.75 ▲ +0.65
2
7.10 ▲ +1.60
14 snapshots recorded, from .