Juventus
vs
Rennes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Juventus
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Juventus vs Rennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventus vs Rennes
| Probability | Juventus | Draw | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.9% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 80.9% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.97 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Juventus vs Rennes match preview
Juventus hosts Rennes in the UEFA Europa League with a strong probability of victory at 81%, while a draw stands at 13% and Rennes at 6%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 10% probability. Juventus has an expected goals tally of 2.97, significantly higher than Rennes' 0.77, indicating a dominant offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
Recent form shows Juventus with three wins in their last five matches, while Rennes has also performed well with four wins in their last five outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 72%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 52%. The confidence grade for this match is rated as A, reflecting a strong expectation for Juventus to secure a favorable result.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juventus and Rennes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Juventus and Rennes attack and defence ratings
Juventus
Rennes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense — team news & stats
- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
Juventus vs Rennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 80.9% |
| Draw | 12.9% | |
| Rennes | 6.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 62.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 19.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.5% |
| 3-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |