Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Torreense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense
| Probability | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.8% | 24.7% | 15.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.8% | 24.7% | 15.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ferencvarosi TC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense match preview
Ferencvarosi TC is favored to win against Torreense with a 60% probability, while a draw stands at 25% and Torreense at 16%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 12% chance of occurring. Expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC are 1.82, compared to Torreense's 0.83, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Ferencvarosi TC has shown strong results with four wins and two draws in their last six matches. Conversely, Torreense has had a mixed performance, recording two wins, two draws, and two losses in the same period. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 49%, while both teams scoring is slightly less likely at 48%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense attack and defence ratings
Ferencvarosi TC
Torreense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats
- Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar — match page
- Bournemouth v AC Milan — match page
Before and after this match
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 59.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Torreense | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense stats
Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense recent form
| Ferencvarosi TC |
DWDWWW |
| Torreense |
WDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense season so far
Ferencvarosi TC record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.