Garuda Lions
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UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense

4 – 1 Full time

9′Kristoffer Zachariassen
17′Alejandro Alfaro
19′Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
20′Bamidele Isa Yusuf
23′Manuel Pozo
57′Ádám Madarászmarius corbu
58′Mariano Gómez
63′Alejandro AlfaroDany Jean
63′Karem ZoabiNuha Jatta
68′Bamidele Isa Yusuf
74′musa drammehMalik Abubakari
74′Manuel PozoL. Quintero
75′Daniel ArzaniHabib Maïga
75′Bamidele Isa YusufLenny Joseph
76′marius corbu
80′Mohamed Ali Diadie
81′João MarquesAndre Simões
87′Veljko BirmančevićKrisztian Lisztes
87′Kristoffer ZachariassenJonathan Levi
89′Krisztian Lisztes
90′Olivér Nagy

Groupama Aréna, BudapestReferee: Jerome Brisard

Ferencvarosi TC 71%
Draw 19%
Torreense 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 4
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
354 Accurate passes 236

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFerencvarosi TCDrawTorreense
Model60.9%24.9%14.2%
Market73.8%17.1%9.1%
Final70.6%19.1%10.4%
Edge-3.2%+2.0%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ferencvarosi TC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.74.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ferencvarosi T ↓ / Torreense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense expected goals

Ferencvarosi TC 1.77
Torreense 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.52

Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense attack and defence ratings

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Torreense

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense: result vs prediction

Ferencvarosi TC 4 – 1 Torreense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ferencvarosi TC 70.6% 1.42 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.6% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.1% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ferencvarosi TC70.6%
Draw19.1%
Torreense10.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.0%
Under 2.554.0%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.6%
12 (either side)80.9%
X2 (draw or away)29.4%
Handicap -1Ferencvarosi TC win35.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss39.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.3%
2-012.7%
1-111.7%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense stats

Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense recent form

newest first
Ferencvarosi TC DWDDWD
Torreense LLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferencvarosi TC record

  • They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.8%, draw 17.1%, away 9.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.32 5.62 10.60
Bet365 1.30 5.25 11.00
BetVictor 1.25 5.75 10.50
Betano 1.31 5.70 11.50
Betfair 1.25 5.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.30 5.80 10.00
Marathonbet 1.30 5.55 10.50
Pinnacle 1.29 5.89 10.85
SBO 1.28 4.67 6.76
William Hill 1.29 5.00 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 ▼ -0.09
X 5.58 ▲ +0.63
2 10.50 ▲ +2.78

12 snapshots recorded, from .